- The Mariners (66-54) are -190 favorites vs the Athletics (43-77)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert (10-5), 3.51 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian (3-7), 4.32 ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The Seattle Mariners (-190) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+155) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Oakland.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Mariners vs Athletics Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 65-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 58-61 ATS.
Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 -110 | O 7.5 -115 | -190 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -110 | U 7.5 -105 | +155 |
Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s matchup with 62.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 46 away games (+22.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 19 away games (+14.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 away games (+13.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+12.40 Units / 88% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Cole Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
Athletics vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vimael Machin | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
Athletics vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Vimael Machin | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Athletics vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vimael Machin | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Athletics vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Kaprielian | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -155 |
| Logan Gilbert | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 61 games (+8.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+1.45 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+6.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 61-58 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -3.8% ROI).
- 65-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.5 Units / 8.05% ROI
- 58-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -1.3% ROI
- 55-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -6.38% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 58-61 against the Run Line (-15.6 Units / -10.08% ROI).
- 43-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -13.57% ROI
- 51-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.7 Units / -14.18% ROI
- 63-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.95 Units / 5.32% ROI
Logan Gilbert: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of .594 (60 Total Bases / 101 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .415 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .317 (32-for-101) against Logan Gilbert on inside fastballs this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .255 — sixth Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has an ERA of 9.39 (15.1 IP)this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.54 — first Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of .672 (43 Total Bases / 64 ABs) this month (3 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — second Percentile.
James Kaprielian: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Kaprielian has a strikeout rate of just 10% (7 SO in 73 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 20% — first Percentile.
James Kaprielian has a strikeout rate of just 32% (68 SO in 213 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (15/129) against James Kaprielian when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
James Kaprielian has located his pitches away 59% of the time (541/915) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 49-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Mariners are 29-7 (.806) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .666.
The Mariners are 35-28 (.556) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Mariners are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 17-40 (.298) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Athletics are just 4-32 (.111) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Athletics are just 41-66 (.383) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Athletics are just 1-61 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have drawn 141 walks in 1,285 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .167 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .299 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .589 (1,997 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Athletics are batting just .202 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .271 (1,997 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Mariners have won 39% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 17 of 115 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Athletics have won just 12% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Athletics have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Athletics vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Matthew Boyd (Mariners): Elbow, D60
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