- The Mariners (31-39) are -120 favorites vs the Athletics (23-47)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Robert Ray (6-6), 4.25 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Francelis Montas (3-7), 3.52 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+100) on Thursday, June 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37pm EDT in Oakland.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Mariners vs Athletics Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 31-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 31-39 ATS.
Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | O 7.5 -120 | -120 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -175 | U 7.5 +100 | +100 |
Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s matchup with 54.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 away games (+15.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 29 away games (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 36 away games (+8.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+7.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 away games (+7.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+7.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jed Lowrie has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games at home (+6.00 Units / 100% ROI)
Athletics vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Cristian Pache | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Athletics vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Cristian Pache | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Athletics vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Cristian Pache | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Athletics vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Frankie Montas | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -165 |
| Robbie Ray | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.30 Units / 64% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+7.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 23 games (+2.80 Units / 11% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 34-36 against the Run Line (-8.75 Units / -9.27% ROI).
- 31-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -10.09% ROI
- 34-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -5.32% ROI
- 35-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -2.9% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 31-39 against the Run Line (-18.25 Units / -19.59% ROI).
- 23-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.45 Units / -24.87% ROI
- 31-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -10.54% ROI
- 35-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 1.18% ROI
Robert Ray: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (463/938) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 51% of the time (192/379) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (655/1,317) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (424/916) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Francelis Montas: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has walked 6 of 162 right-handed batters (4%) this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 89th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 53% (64/120) against Frankie Montas this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 92nd Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 32% (110/341) against Frankie Montas this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 89th Percentile.
48% of Frankie Montas’ strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 95th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 24-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The Mariners are just 15-18 (.455) at home this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Mariners are 25-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Mariners are 15-5 (.750) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .674.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 8-28 (.222) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Athletics are just 16-5 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Athletics are just 2-22 (.083) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Athletics are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .157 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have drawn 84 walks in 722 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Mariners are batting just .213 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .561 (1,258 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .582 (1,775 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .600 (2,498 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .316 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 25 of 467 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Athletics pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 81% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Samuel Moll (Athletics): COVID-19, Day-to-Day
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Skye Bolt (Athletics): Oblique, D60
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Calf, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
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