- The Mariners are -120 favorites vs the Athletics
- Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales, 6.35 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Adam Oller, 1.86 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB.com
The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Hohokam Stadium to take on the Oakland Athletics (+100) on Wednesday, March 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Mesa.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Mariners vs Athletics Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Mariners are 6-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 6-5 ATS.
Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | O 11 -120 | -120 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -150 | U 11 +100 | +100 |
Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 62.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mariners vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 away games (+4.40 Units / 84% ROI)
- Curt Casali has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.20 Units / 81% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kevin Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Chad Pinder has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Stephen Vogt has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.90 Units / 45% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 57 away games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 55 away games (+14.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 39 away games (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 63 away games (+11.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 64 away games (+9.65 Units / 13% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+13.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 44 games at home (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games at home (+9.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games at home (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 5-8 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -27.62% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -14.33% ROI
- 3-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -58.25% ROI
- 11-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.8 Units / 50.65% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 6-5 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -1.65% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -17.9% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -10.88% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 5.31% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales had a strikeout rate of just 13% (103/783) last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 16% (83/532) against Marco Gonzales last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (580/1,369) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (1,138/2,243) since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 97th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha allowed a slugging percentage of .738 (45 Total Bases / 61 ABs) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — first Percentile.
Michael Wacha threw his changeup 48% of the time (287/598) with two-strikes last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Wacha recorded 34 of his 54 strikeouts (63%) against right-handed batters with his changeup last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Oller allowed a slugging percentage of .549 (161 Total Bases / 293 ABs) last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .398 — first Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 36-15 (.706) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 15-6 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 14-11 (.560) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 46-37 (.554) on the road last season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 29-52 (.358) at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Athletics are just 3-80 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Athletics are just 58-87 (.400) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Athletics are just 7-46 (.132) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .219 at home since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters drew 190 walks in 1,781 PA’s (11%) against LHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .171 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Athletics hitters had an OBP of just .278 (2,878 PA’s) at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Athletics hitters had an OBP of just .279 (4,331 PA’s) against RHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Athletics batted just .216 last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Mariners have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Athletics have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Athletics have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Athletics pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
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