- The Mariners (81-66) are -200 favorites vs the Athletics (54-94)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Robert Ray (12-10), 3.72 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian (3-9), 4.69 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Seattle Mariners (-200) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+170) on Wednesday, September 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Mariners vs Athletics Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 80-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 70-75 ATS.
Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 -120 | O 7 +100 | -200 |
| Athletics | +1.5 +100 | U 7 -120 | +170 |
Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 62.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 52 away games (+20.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 52 away games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+13.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+11.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vimael Machin has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+10.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+9.90 Units / 29% ROI)
Athletics vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Dermis Garcia | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Diaz | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Athletics vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Dermis Garcia | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Diaz | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Athletics vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dermis Garcia | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Diaz | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Athletics vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Kaprielian | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -115 |
| Robbie Ray | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+8.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.73 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+2.95 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+3.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.40 Units / 48% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 78-65 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 2.13% ROI).
- 80-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.45 Units / 5.78% ROI
- 65-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -8.18% ROI
- 72-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 0.63% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 70-75 against the Run Line (-19.2 Units / -10.31% ROI).
- 52-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.65 Units / -12.96% ROI
- 65-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.8 Units / -10.45% ROI
- 74-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 1.76% ROI
Robert Ray: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (897/1,895) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (1,166/2,759) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has allowed a slugging percentage of .854 (35 Total Bases / 41 ABs) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .400 — third Percentile.
Robbie Ray has walked 51 of 566 right-handed batters (9%) this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
James Kaprielian: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Kaprielian has walked 35 of 251 right-handed batters (14%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
James Kaprielian has allowed an OPS of 1.081 (95 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .755 — third Percentile.
James Kaprielian has walked 13 of 95 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
James Kaprielian has a strikeout rate of just 8% (8 SO in 95 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 20% — first Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 7-59 (.106) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Mariners are 8-54 (.129) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Mariners are 62-2 (.969) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Mariners are 37-11 (.771) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 52-80 (.394) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Athletics are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 24-49 (.329) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Athletics are just 47-8 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .165 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .204 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .274 (2,577 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .279 (3,965 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .593 (2,577 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 887 of 11,528 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 9% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Athletics have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Adam Oller (Athletics): Rib, D15
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Samuel Moll (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Eugenio Suárez (Mariners): Finger, D10
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
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