- The Blue Jays are -275 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Watch the game on SN1
The Seattle Mariners (+220) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-275) on Saturday, April 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Mariners vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 11-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 16-10 ATS.
Mariners vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +2.5 -125 | O 9 +100 | +220 |
| Blue Jays | -2.5 +105 | U 9 -120 | -275 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mariners vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Kolten Wong has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kolten Wong has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.20 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- George Springer has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+11.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.85 Units / 79% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 35% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -130 |
| McGee | 2.5 -115 | 2.5 -110 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.40 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 55% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 11-15 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -14.78% ROI).
- 11-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -20.61% ROI
- 13-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -1.38% ROI
- 12-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -8.13% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 16-10 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 14.73% ROI).
- 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 15.47% ROI
- 9-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -26.33% ROI
- 15-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.8 Units / 16.58% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .952 (20 Total Bases / 21 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .420 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .524 (11-for-21) against Chris Flexen’s elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 44% (20/45) against Chris Flexen when he’s behind in the count this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .405 (15-for-37) against Chris Flexen’s curve and slider this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .228 — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .030 (67 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OPS of just .045 (68 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .507 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .015 (1-for-66) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .171 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .015 (1 Total Bases / 66 ABs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .265 — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mariners are just 0-10 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
The Mariners are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .039.
The Mariners are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Mariners are 78-3 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Blue Jays are 2-9 (.182) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .039.
The Blue Jays are 40-58 (.408) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .291.
The Blue Jays are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Blue Jays are 19-15 (.559) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .261 (249 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Mariners hitters have 23 extra-base hits out of 44 total hits (52%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .618 (249 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 297 strikeouts in 1,516 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Blue Jays are batting .187 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Mariners have won just just 0% of the time this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 23 of 434 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mariners pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 12 of 230 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Rhomboid, D15
- Christopher Bassitt (Blue Jays): Back, Day-to-Day
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hand, D10
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
Bet now on Mariners vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
