• The Blue Jays are -190 favorites vs the Mariners
• Mariners vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Mariners / Blue Jays TV Channel: ATV

The Seattle Mariners (+155) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-190) on August 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Mariners are 64-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 67-67 ATS.

Mariners vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 7-7, 3.38 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 8-5, 2.38 ERA

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+17.20 Units / 42% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+15.90 Units / 47% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.75 Units / 35% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+19.00 Units / 380% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 25 games at home (+18.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 46% ROI)
• Dylan Cease has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 55% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+11.95 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.65 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.35 Units / 21% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+18.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 25 games at home (+13.95 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+6.35 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.20 Units / 25% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 51-82 against the Run Line (-28.3 Units / -18.19% ROI).

• 64-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.1 Units / -12.52% ROI
• 68-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.3 Units / 2.23% ROI
• 59-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.4 Units / -10.47% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 67-67 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -4.23% ROI).

• 65-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.55 Units / -7.58% ROI
• 67-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -2.15% ROI
• 64-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -6.24% ROI

Blue Jays vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Mariners are just 2-60 (.032) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mariners are just 19-21 (.475) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 2-63 (.031) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Blue Jays are just 9-32 (.220) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 15-15 (.500) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 7-49 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mariners are batting just .213 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .476 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .336 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .634 (1,597 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays have scored 1.91 runs per game (258/135) in the first 5 innings this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .348 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .503 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (3,230 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have 214 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th most in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (3,230 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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