Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 30

Toronto Blue Jays' Vladimir Guerrero Jr. plays against the Boston Red Sox during the fourth inning of a baseball game, Thursday, May 4, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
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  • The Mariners are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Mariners vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Mariners / Blue Jays TV Channel: MRTV | RSN | TVA

The Seattle Mariners (-145) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+118) on August 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Mariners are 64-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 69-67 ATS.

Mariners vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 11-7, 3.37 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 1-7, 7.07 ERA

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +120O 8 -110-145
Blue Jays +1.5 -145U 8 -110+118

Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+16.95 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+10.65 Units / 133% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+29.00 Units / 483% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 15 games at home (+15.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+14.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+11.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+2.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+16.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+6.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.45 Units / 29% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 51-84 against the Run Line (-31 Units / -19.58% ROI).

  • 64-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.2 Units / -13.55% ROI
  • 69-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.2 Units / 2.13% ROI
  • 60-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.6 Units / -10.45% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 69-67 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -2.77% ROI).

  • 67-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -6.27% ROI
  • 68-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -2.19% ROI
  • 65-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -6.27% ROI

Blue Jays vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Cal Raleigh +270
Dominic Canzone +300
Julio Rodriguez +333
Randy Arozarena +333
Kazuma Okamoto +360

Blue Jays vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Naylor 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Dominic Canzone 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Blue Jays vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jesus Sanchez 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Brock Rodden 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Taylor Ward 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Brett Bateman 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Dominic Canzone 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Mariners are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mariners are just 19-22 (.463) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 2-62 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 2-65 (.030) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Blue Jays are just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 7-49 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Blue Jays are 19-110 (.147) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .336 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .474 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .148 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .299 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .643 (1,506 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .191 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays have scored 1.93 runs per game (265/137) in the first 5 innings this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (3,230 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (3,230 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.