- The Blue Jays (0-0) are -135 favorites vs the Mariners (0-0)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo (-), – ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (-), – ERA
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Seattle Mariners (+115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-135) on Friday, October 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Mariners vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 90-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 73-89 ATS.
Mariners vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -200 | O 7 -115 | +115 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +165 | U 7 -105 | -135 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 52 away games (+20.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 52 away games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+14.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 58 games at home (+12.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 47 games at home (+11.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 35 games at home (+10.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Raimel Tapia | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Raimel Tapia | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Raimel Tapia | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Manoah | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +110 |
| Luis Castillo | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 53 away games (+14.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 51 away games (+12.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 59 away games (+12.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 28 away games (+11.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.95 Units / 27% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games at home (+12.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 59 games at home (+10.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+2.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 83-79 against the Run Line (-7.4 Units / -3.48% ROI).
- 90-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 1.93% ROI
- 75-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -5.96% ROI
- 79-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -1.48% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 73-89 against the Run Line (-20.95 Units / -10.78% ROI).
- 92-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.75 Units / -5.56% ROI
- 82-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -0.85% ROI
- 76-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.4 Units / -8.55% ROI
Luis Castillo: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 48% (62 SO in 130 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .096 (11-for-114) against Luis Castillo’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .224 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (210/362) against Luis Castillo in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (281/474) against Luis Castillo since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .159 (51-for-321) against Alek Manoah this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .237 (22-for-93) against Alek Manoah on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .337 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .460 (346 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .708 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed a slugging percentage of just .249 (80 Total Bases / 321 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mariners are 68-1 (.986) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Mariners are 40-6 (.870) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Mariners are 41-11 (.788) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Mariners are 61-10 (.859) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Blue Jays are 45-36 (.556) on the road this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The Blue Jays are just 4-56 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Blue Jays are 78-5 (.940) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Blue Jays are 78-19 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .219 at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters have drawn 190 walks in 1,778 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .662 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Blue Jays are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .437 on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners pitchers have won 34% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 897 of 11,969 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 424 of 6,053 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays have won 40% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 45% of their games since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Back, D10
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Jesse Winker (Mariners): Neck, D10
- Samuel Haggerty (Mariners): Groin, D10
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