Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 7

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 07, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Blue Jays (0-0) are -135 favorites vs the Mariners (0-0)
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo (-), ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (-), ERA
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Seattle Mariners (+115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-135) on Friday, October 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Mariners vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mariners are 90-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 73-89 ATS.

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners+1.5 -200O 7 -115+115
Blue Jays -1.5 +165U 7 -105-135

Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Mariners and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 52 away games (+20.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 52 away games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+14.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 58 games at home (+12.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 47 games at home (+11.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 35 games at home (+10.75 Units / 21% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bo Bichette 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
George Springer 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Matt Chapman 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Raimel Tapia 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Blue Jays vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bo Bichette 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
George Springer 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Matt Chapman 0.5 -120 0.5 -115
Raimel Tapia 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -165 0.5 +120

Blue Jays vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bo Bichette 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
George Springer 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Matt Chapman 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Raimel Tapia 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Blue Jays vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Manoah 5.5 -155 5.5 +110
Luis Castillo 5.5 +115 5.5 -165
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 53 away games (+14.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 51 away games (+12.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 59 away games (+12.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 28 away games (+11.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games at home (+12.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 59 games at home (+10.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+2.35 Units / 11% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 83-79 against the Run Line (-7.4 Units / -3.48% ROI).

  • 90-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 1.93% ROI
  • 75-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -5.96% ROI
  • 79-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -1.48% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 73-89 against the Run Line (-20.95 Units / -10.78% ROI).

  • 92-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.75 Units / -5.56% ROI
  • 82-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -0.85% ROI
  • 76-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.4 Units / -8.55% ROI

Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 48% (62 SO in 130 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .096 (11-for-114) against Luis Castillo’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .224 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (210/362) against Luis Castillo in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (281/474) against Luis Castillo since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.

Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .159 (51-for-321) against Alek Manoah this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .237 (22-for-93) against Alek Manoah on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .337 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .460 (346 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .708 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed a slugging percentage of just .249 (80 Total Bases / 321 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 100th Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Mariners are 68-1 (.986) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Mariners are 40-6 (.870) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Mariners are 41-11 (.788) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Mariners are 61-10 (.859) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Blue Jays are 45-36 (.556) on the road this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .467.

The Blue Jays are just 4-56 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Blue Jays are 78-5 (.940) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Blue Jays are 78-19 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Mariners are batting just .219 at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Mariners hitters have drawn 190 walks in 1,778 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .662 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.

The Blue Jays are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .437 on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners pitchers have won 34% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 897 of 11,969 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 424 of 6,053 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Blue Jays have won 40% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 45% of their games since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays): Finger, Day-to-Day
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Back, D10
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Jesse Winker (Mariners): Neck, D10
  • Samuel Haggerty (Mariners): Groin, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.