Mariners vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 19

Milwaukee Brewers' Brice Turang swings during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
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The Seattle Mariners (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-130) on August 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Mariners are 59-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 66-60 ATS.

Mariners vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 9-7, 3.29 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Dustin May 6-7, 4.17 ERA

Mariners vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners+1.5 -210O 7 -105+105
Brewers -1.5 +170U 7 -115-130

Mariners vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+15.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+12.50 Units / 179% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+14.50 Units / 207% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.45 Units / 54% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+14.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+14.30 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+11.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+14.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+11.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.25 Units / 17% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 47-78 against the Run Line (-26.45 Units / -18.52% ROI).

  • 59-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.15 Units / -14.37% ROI
  • 62-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.36% ROI
  • 57-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -7.88% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 66-60 against the Run Line (+15.05 Units / 10.38% ROI).

  • 78-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.1 Units / 6.55% ROI
  • 54-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.55 Units / -15.55% ROI
  • 69-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.85 Units / 7.09% ROI

Brewers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Jackson Chourio +333
Jake Bauers +360
Cal Raleigh +375
Dominic Canzone +400
William Contreras +400

Brewers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Chourio 0.5 -235 0.5 +160
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -235 0.5 +160
William Contreras 0.5 -220 0.5 +150
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -220 0.5 +145
Josh Naylor 0.5 -210 0.5 +140

Brewers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Chourio 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
David Hamilton 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -220 0.5 +150
Luis Lara 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Mariners are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Mariners were 12-55 (.179) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Brewers were 97-65 (.599) in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers were 21-2 (.913) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Brewers were 74-4 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Mariners are batting just .217 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .344 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .643 (1,455 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .150 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .392 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,453 of their 4,890 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .285 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 777 of their 2,176 plate appearances (36%) versus relief pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

The Brewers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.