- The Brewers are -130 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Mariners / Brewers TV Channel: MRTV | BRTV
The Seattle Mariners (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-130) on August 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Mariners are 59-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 66-60 ATS.
Mariners vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 9-7, 3.29 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Dustin May 6-7, 4.17 ERA
Mariners vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -210 | O 7 -105 | +105 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +170 | U 7 -115 | -130 |
Mariners vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+15.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+12.50 Units / 179% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+14.50 Units / 207% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+14.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+14.30 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 77% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+11.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+14.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+11.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 47-78 against the Run Line (-26.45 Units / -18.52% ROI).
- 59-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.15 Units / -14.37% ROI
- 62-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.36% ROI
- 57-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -7.88% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 66-60 against the Run Line (+15.05 Units / 10.38% ROI).
- 78-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.1 Units / 6.55% ROI
- 54-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.55 Units / -15.55% ROI
- 69-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.85 Units / 7.09% ROI
Brewers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | +333 |
| Jake Bauers | +360 |
| Cal Raleigh | +375 |
| Dominic Canzone | +400 |
| William Contreras | +400 |
Brewers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +160 |
| Julio Rodriguez | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +160 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +150 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +145 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +140 |
Brewers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| David Hamilton | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Julio Rodriguez | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +150 |
| Luis Lara | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Mariners are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
The Mariners are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.
The Mariners are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB.
The Mariners were 12-55 (.179) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Brewers were 97-65 (.599) in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers were 21-2 (.913) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Brewers were 74-4 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .217 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .344 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .643 (1,455 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Mariners are batting just .150 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting .392 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.
Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,453 of their 4,890 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.
The Brewers are batting .285 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 777 of their 2,176 plate appearances (36%) versus relief pitchers this season — highest in MLB.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Brewers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.
The Brewers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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