Mariners vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 28

Los Angeles Dodgers designated hitter Shohei Ohtani celebrates his solo-home run during the first inning of a baseball game against the Texas Rangers, Wednesday, June 12, 2024, in Los Angeles.
AP Photo/Ryan Sun
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  • The Dodgers are -190 favorites vs the Mariners
  • Mariners vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Mariners / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | MRTV

The Seattle Mariners (+155) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-190) on July 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Mariners are 52-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 48-58 ATS.

Mariners vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 3-9, 4.87 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Justin Wrobleski 11-2, 2.63 ERA

Mariners vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners+1.5 -125O 9 +100+155
Dodgers -1.5 +105U 9 -120-190

Mariners vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+17.70 Units / 221% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+14.35 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+13.00 Units / 113% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.45 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.10 Units / 278% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 away games (+11.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+13.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+6.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 37% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 42-65 against the Run Line (-14.3 Units / -12.32% ROI).

  • 52-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.9 Units / -12.97% ROI
  • 53-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 0.34% ROI
  • 48-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -10 Units / -8.51% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 48-58 against the Run Line (-13.3 Units / -10.7% ROI).

  • 67-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -4.37% ROI
  • 49-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -11.04% ROI
  • 56-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 2.07% ROI

Dodgers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Shohei Ohtani +165
Max Muncy +240
Julio Rodriguez +300
Freddie Freeman +300
Cal Raleigh +310

Dodgers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Andy Pages 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Mookie Betts 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Tommy Edman 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Dodgers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Dalton Rushing 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Dominic Canzone 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Mariners are just 16-31 (.340) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Dodgers (fourth in runs scored).

The Mariners are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are just 1-45 (.022) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.

The Mariners are just 1-49 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Dodgers are 28-13 (.683) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Mariners (fifth runs allowed).

The Dodgers are 42-4 (.913) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Dodgers are 36-4 (.900) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .755.

The Dodgers are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are just 3-9 (-50.9% ROI) when underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The Mariners are just 15-32 (.319) against the run line (-25.4% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Dodgers (fourth in runs scored).

The Mariners are just 2-5 (-42.7% ROI) when slight moneyline underdogs (+101 to +149) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The Mariners are just 41-66 (.383) against the run line (-13.5% ROI) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 63% this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 64% on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers have won 86% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — highest in MLB.

The Dodgers have won 79% of games in which they have scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a swing rate of 51% against the Mariners pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .215 against Dodgers pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have won 38% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Dodgers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.