- The Giants are -140 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Seattle Mariners (+115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-140) on Monday, July 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Mariners vs Giants Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 40-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 44-40 ATS.
Mariners vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -185 | O 7 +100 | +115 |
| Giants | -1.5 +150 | U 7 -120 | -140 |
Mariners vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 63.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 35 games (+12.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+8.50 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Patrick Bailey has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+11.35 Units / 71% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
Giants vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
Giants vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Giants vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Logan Webb | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 away games (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 21 games (+1.35 Units / 5% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 44 games (+12.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 65 games (+9.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+7.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 70 games (+4.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 37-45 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -11.51% ROI).
- 40-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -11.99% ROI
- 42-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.05% ROI
- 38-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -8.72% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 44-40 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 1.39% ROI).
- 46-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 2.21% ROI
- 39-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -7.86% ROI
- 42-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -0.38% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has a strike rate of 70% (280/400) over the last 30 days (5 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed an OBP of just .186 (59 PA’s) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (5 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 99th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .161 (9 Total Bases / 56 ABs) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (5 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .414 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .395 against Bryan Woo over the last 30 days (5 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .259 — third Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (192/311) against Logan Webb this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (97/156) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (95/155) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 42% of the time (192/455) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Mariners are just 1-3 (.250) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Mariners are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Mariners are 101-5 (.953) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Mariners are just 3-26 (.103) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Giants are 30-24 (.556) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Giants are 10-28 (.263) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Giants are 4-34 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Giants are 34-23 (.596) after a road win since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .112 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
The Mariners are batting just .212 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Mariners are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 34 strikeouts in 91 PA’s (37%) against LHP over the last 14 days (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Giants are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Giants hitters have 715 strikeouts in 2,810 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters have 236 strikeouts in 878 PA’s (27%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 218 of 3,051 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Mariners have won just just 9% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers have a strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 142 of 2,189 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 232 of 3,164 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Scott Alexander (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Back, D15
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
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