Mariners vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 5

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 05, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Giants are -165 favorites vs the Mariners
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Tomaso Milone
  • Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA

The Seattle Mariners (+140) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-165) on Wednesday, July 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Mariners vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mariners are 42-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 44-42 ATS.

Mariners vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners+1.5 -145O 8.5 -115+140
Giants -1.5 +120U 8.5 -105-165

Mariners vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 68.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+8.35 Units / 9% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+14.20 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.35 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+11.35 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.35 Units / 58% ROI)

Giants vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Austin Slater 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Patrick Bailey 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Casey Schmitt 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Blake Sabol 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Giants vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Austin Slater 1.5 +170 1.5 -225
Patrick Bailey 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Casey Schmitt 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Blake Sabol 0.5 -155 0.5 +120

Giants vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Austin Slater 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Patrick Bailey 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Casey Schmitt 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Blake Sabol 0.5 +220 0.5 -300

Giants vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Cobb 5.5 +115 5.5 -150
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 93% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games (+1.15 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 67 games (+7.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 72 games (+4.30 Units / 5% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 39-45 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -9.31% ROI).

  • 42-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -10.02% ROI
  • 43-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.16% ROI
  • 39-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -8.72% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 44-42 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.4% ROI).

  • 46-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.23% ROI
  • 40-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -7.79% ROI
  • 43-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.58% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (418/691) against Alex Cobb since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (1,046/2,667) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (156/257) against Alex Cobb in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (211/348) against Alex Cobb since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Mariners are 28-3 (.903) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Mariners are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Mariners are just 4-17 (.190) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Mariners are 99-9 (.917) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .872.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Giants are 18-10 (.643) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .446.

The Giants are 30-24 (.556) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.

The Giants are 40-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Giants are 34-23 (.596) after a road win since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .491.

Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .277 (372 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.

The Mariners are batting just .111 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.

Mariners hitters have 213 strikeouts in 815 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Mariners are batting just .157 with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.

The Giants are batting .372 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.

Giants hitters have 29 strikeouts in 73 PA’s (40%) against LHP over the last 14 days (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Giants hitters have drawn 638 walks in 6,606 PA’s (10%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants hitters have drawn 237 walks in 2,421 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 220 of 3,119 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Mariners pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 671 of 9,149 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners pitchers have a strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 235 of 3,248 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
  • Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
  • Thairo Estrada (Giants): Hand, D10
  • Luke Jackson (Giants): Back, D15
  • Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
  • Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Tyler France (Mariners): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
  • William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
  • Bryce Miller (Mariners): Finger, D15
  • Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.