- The Mariners are -140 favorites vs the Mets
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson
- Watch the game on SNY
The Seattle Mariners (-140) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+115) on Saturday, September 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Mariners vs Mets Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 0-0 ATS.
Mariners vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -105 | -140 |
| Mets | +1.5 -150 | U 8 -115 | +115 |
Mariners vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 61.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mariners vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 48 games (+13.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+12.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+10.40 Units / 79% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.95 Units / 26% ROI)
Mets vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ronny Mauricio | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ronny Mauricio | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ronny Mauricio | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
| David Peterson | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 53 games (+18.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 27 away games (+13.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.93 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 57 games (+8.45 Units / 12% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+11.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games at home (+9.82 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.33 Units / 31% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .258 (655 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 2 double plays in 88 opportunities (2%) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .209 (127-for-609) against Luis Castillo this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — 94th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .199 (56-for-282) against Luis Castillo this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — 98th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (454/832) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
David Peterson has a strike rate of just 59% (1,534/2,588) against right-handed batters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (108/209) of right-handed hitters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson has located his fastball up for a strike just 48% (182/382) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Mariners are 42-3 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Mariners are 12-6 (.667) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Mariners are 72-25 (.742) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Mariners are 9-115 (.073) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Mets are just 2-61 (.032) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Mets are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Mets are just 16-24 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are 78-18 (.812) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Mets vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Guillorme (Mets): Leg, D10
- Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Starling Marte (Mets): Migraines, D10
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Pec, D60
- Joshua Walker (Mets): Oblique, D60
- Emerson Hancock (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Thumb, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- George Kirby (Mariners): Illness, Day-to-Day
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Jarred Kelenic (Mariners): Foot, D10
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