- The Mariners are -150 favorites vs the Mets
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Seattle Mariners (-150) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+125) on Sunday, September 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Mariners vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 77-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 56-79 ATS.
Mariners vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +105 | O 9 -115 | -150 |
| Mets | +1.5 -130 | U 9 -105 | +125 |
Mariners vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 61.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mariners vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+14.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 45 games (+12.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 49 games (+12.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.00 Units / 75% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+11.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+11.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+10.40 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+8.60 Units / 16% ROI)
Mets vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Ronny Mauricio | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ronny Mauricio | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Mets vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ronny Mauricio | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Mets vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tylor Megill | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| George Kirby | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -155 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 55 games (+18.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+13.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.28 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 29 away games (+11.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 59 games (+8.44 Units / 11% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games at home (+10.52 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 47 games at home (+9.12 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 47 games at home (+4.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.38 Units / 27% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 68-67 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -0.58% ROI).
- 77-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 0.91% ROI
- 68-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -1.67% ROI
- 64-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -6.82% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 56-79 against the Run Line (-33.4 Units / -19.5% ROI).
- 61-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.5 Units / -17.57% ROI
- 55-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.05 Units / -18.95% ROI
- 75-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.55 Units / 9.9% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
keys to the game – away
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
keys to the game – home
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Mariners are batting just .237 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 710 strikeouts in 3,438 PA’s (21%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets are batting just .230 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Mets have scored first in just 41% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Mets have scored first in just 38% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 332 of 4,990 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 783 of 11,020 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 51% against the Mariners pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 81 of 1,215 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Guillorme (Mets): Leg, D10
- Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Starling Marte (Mets): Migraines, D10
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Mark Vientos (Mets): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Pec, D60
- Joshua Walker (Mets): Oblique, D60
- Tyler France (Mariners): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Emerson Hancock (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Thumb, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Jarred Kelenic (Mariners): Foot, D10
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