• The Mariners are -115 favorites vs the Orioles
• Mariners vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Mariners / Orioles TV Channel: ESPN

The Seattle Mariners (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on June 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Mariners are 36-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 33-36 ATS.

Mariners vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 5-4, 3.74 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 3-7, 3.92 ERA

Mariners vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mariners vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 37% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.20 Units / 41% ROI)
• Cole Young has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.10 Units / 16% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 28% ROI)
• Cole Young has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+15.90 Units / 199% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+10.15 Units / 127% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+8.80 Units / 53% ROI)
• Kyle Bradish has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 43% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 away games (+8.75 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.15 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+6.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.35 Units / 11% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+9.25 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.05 Units / 26% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 27-42 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -11.12% ROI).

• 36-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -8.44% ROI
• 32-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -6.72% ROI
• 34-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -1.58% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 33-36 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -5.66% ROI).

• 32-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -10.91% ROI
• 39-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.2 Units / 12.09% ROI
• 27-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.8 Units / -20.86% ROI

Orioles vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Mariners are 13-5 (.722) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Orioles (eighth in runs scored).

The Mariners are 20-4 (.833) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Mariners are 23-8 (.742) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Orioles (28th runs allowed).

The Mariners are 6-87 (.065) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .047.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Orioles are just 6-30 (.167) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Orioles are 10-3 (.769) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .645.

The Orioles are just 11-15 (.423) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 16-65 (.198) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

Mariners hitters are slugging just .336 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .626 (772 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .290 (772 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .211 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

The Orioles are batting just .154 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .235 with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.52 (272.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.75 runs per game (184/32) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have 80 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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