- The Mariners are -115 favorites vs the Orioles
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
- Watch the game on MASN
The Seattle Mariners (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on Friday, June 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Mariners vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 36-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 45-28 ATS.
Mariners vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -110 | -115 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -110 | -105 |
Mariners vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 52.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+11.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 away games (+11.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 34 of his last 49 games (+10.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+10.25 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 games (+15.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 35 games (+12.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+11.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
Orioles vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Orioles vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Orioles vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Orioles vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Kyle Gibson | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games (+4.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 27 away games (+3.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 70 games (+17.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 60 games (+15.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+6.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games (+5.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 34-39 against the Run Line (-7.35 Units / -7.86% ROI).
- 36-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -9.54% ROI
- 35-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.9 Units / -6.02% ROI
- 36-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -2.7% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 45-28 against the Run Line (+14.65 Units / 15.57% ROI).
- 45-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.65 Units / 17.87% ROI
- 36-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 1.44% ROI
- 32-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.6 Units / -9.39% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .240 against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — fifth best among qualified SPs– 93rd Percentile. Opponents batted .476 (39-for-82) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — worst among qualified SPs– second Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .149 (175 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .307 (175 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .495 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .104 (17-for-164) against Logan Gilbert with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .128 (6-for-47) against Kyle Gibson on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .250 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .045 (1-for-22) against Kyle Gibson — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has allowed an OPS of .628 (171 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .495 — 13th Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has struck out just 18% (31/173) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 15th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Mariners are just 1-15 (.062) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Mariners are just 2-23 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Mariners are 8-97 (.076) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mariners are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Orioles are 93-5 (.949) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .873.
The Orioles are 19-4 (.826) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .591.
The Orioles are 19-8 (.704) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Orioles are 22-13 (.629) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .111 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
The Mariners are batting just .220 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .273 (319 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Mariners are batting just .312 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting .412 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .351.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 63% at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Orioles are batting .255 with two outs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Orioles hitters are slugging .692 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .591.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 191 of 2,712 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Mariners have won just just 5% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 642 of 8,742 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Orioles pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .156 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.56 (1543.0 IP) against division opponents since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Orioles vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Vertigo, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Groin, D10
- James McCann (Orioles): Ankle, D10
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Trevor Gott (Mariners): Back, D15
- John Crawford (Mariners): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
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