- The Orioles are -120 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
- Watch the game on MASN
The Seattle Mariners (+100) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-120) on Saturday, June 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Mariners vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are ATS.
Mariners vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -105 | +100 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | U 9 -115 | -120 |
Mariners vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+12.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 away games (+12.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+11.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 42 games (+11.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 39 games (+16.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 36 games (+13.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+10.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+8.45 Units / 36% ROI)
Orioles vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Orioles vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Orioles vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Orioles vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Dean Kremer | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games (+4.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 27 away games (+3.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 70 games (+17.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 60 games (+15.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+6.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games (+5.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller had a strike rate of 77% (65/85) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .116 (5-for-43) against Bryce Miller over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .244 — 97th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has walked 8 of 198 batters (4%) this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OPS of just .383 (46 PA’s) — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .699 — 96th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .533 (24-for-45) against Dean Kremer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .343 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .308 (45-for-146) against Dean Kremer’s non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .220 — first Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .507 (74 Total Bases / 146 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — third Percentile.
Dean Kremer has a strikeout rate of just 21% (17 SO in 82 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — eighth Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Mariners are just 2-23 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Mariners are 56-9 (.862) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Mariners are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Mariners are 98-4 (.961) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .908.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Orioles are 19-4 (.826) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .591.
The Orioles are 93-5 (.949) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .873.
The Orioles are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Orioles are 64-42 (.604) after a loss since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .272 (320 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .375 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting just .234 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Orioles are batting .411 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .351.
Orioles hitters are slugging .688 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .590.
The Orioles are 68-37 (.642) against the run line (20.9% ROI) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 192 of 2,742 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Mariners pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 643 of 8,772 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .156 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.56 (1543.0 IP) against division opponents since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Orioles pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Vertigo, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- James McCann (Orioles): Ankle, D10
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Trevor Gott (Mariners): Back, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
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