- The Mariners are -120 favorites vs the Orioles
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
- Watch the game on MASN
The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+100) on Sunday, June 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Mariners vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 37-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 46-29 ATS.
Mariners vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -105 | -120 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -115 | +100 |
Mariners vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 57.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+11.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 43 games (+10.00 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+13.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 37 games (+12.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+8.95 Units / 18% ROI)
Orioles vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Orioles vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Cedric Mullins | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Austin Hays | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Kyle Bradish | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Kyle Bradish | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 29 away games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 72 games (+17.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 62 games (+16.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+5.20 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+4.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 35-40 against the Run Line (-8.25 Units / -8.46% ROI).
- 37-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -9.36% ROI
- 37-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -3.47% ROI
- 36-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -5.38% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 46-29 against the Run Line (+15.3 Units / 15.92% ROI).
- 46-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.55 Units / 17.34% ROI
- 38-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 3.84% ROI
- 32-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -11.85% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has a strike rate of 71% (432/610) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 6 of 351 batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 2 of 191 right-handed batters (1%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has a strike rate of 71% (919/1,289) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (59/191) against Kyle Bradish this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (36/112) against Kyle Bradish on non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .320 (108-for-337) against Kyle Bradish since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .247 — second Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has an ERA of 7.05 (83.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 3.95 — second Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Mariners are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Mariners are just 1-16 (.059) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Mariners are 56-9 (.862) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Mariners are 98-4 (.961) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .908.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Orioles are 19-4 (.826) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Orioles are 94-5 (.949) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Orioles are 20-9 (.690) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Orioles are 10-4 (.714) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Mariners are batting just .114 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .271 (329 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Mariners hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting .409 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .352.
The Orioles are 145-91 (.612) against the run line (13.7% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Orioles hitters have drawn 86 walks in 846 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 197 of 2,781 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Mariners pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have a strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .163 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 25% against Orioles pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 144 of 2,113 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Vertigo, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- James McCann (Orioles): Ankle, D10
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Trevor Gott (Mariners): Back, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Illness, Day-to-Day
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