• The Mariners are -120 favorites vs the Padres
• Mariners vs Padres Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Mariners / Padres TV Channel: MRTV | PDTV | ESUN

The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+100) on April 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Mariners are 8-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 10-5 ATS.

Mariners vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 0-1, 1.47 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 1-1, 3.18 ERA

Mariners vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 67% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 33% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+6.80 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+17.80 Units / 222% ROI)
• Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 40% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.45 Units / 105% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+6.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.65 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+5.95 Units / 8% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.75 Units / 61% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+6.05 Units / 11% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 7-10 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -13.84% ROI).

• 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -17.85% ROI
• 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -10.67% ROI
• 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.8% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 10-5 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 16.4% ROI).

• 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 20.48% ROI
• 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 1.99% ROI
• 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -10.2% ROI

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Mariners are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .027.

The Mariners were 12-55 (.179) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Mariners are just 1-5 (.167) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .440.

The Mariners were 5-59 (.078) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .043.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Padres are 10-6 (.625) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .027.

The Padres are 8-1 (.889) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Padres are 33-13 (.717) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .639.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

Mariners hitters are slugging just .230 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .236 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters slugged .712 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .158 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

Padres hitters have 23 extra-base hits out of 44 total hits (52%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Padres hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 70% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 21 double plays in 95 opportunities (22%) this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .269 (3,053 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Padres pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents batted just .225 against Padres pitchers in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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