- The Phillies are -130 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
- Phillies starting pitcher: Bailey Falter
- Watch the game on NBCS-PH
The Seattle Mariners (+105) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-130) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Mariners vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 10-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 9-14 ATS.
Mariners vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -120 | +105 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +155 | U 9 +100 | -130 |
Mariners vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mariners vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+10.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+15.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+11.05 Units / 100% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
Phillies vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Phillies vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Phillies vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Phillies vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Falter | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Marco Gonzales | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.00 Units / 6% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+2.80 Units / 18% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 9-13 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -17.87% ROI).
- 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -16.33% ROI
- 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 8.16% ROI
- 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -17.5% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 9-14 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -31.12% ROI).
- 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -13.68% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -8.64% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.4% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .059 (51 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .444 (8-for-18) against Logan Gilbert’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .041 (2-for-49) against Logan Gilbert with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .172 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .478 (43-for-90) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .339 — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (10/75) against Bailey Falter this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 27% (12 SO in 45 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 14% (12 SO in 88 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (29/168) against Bailey Falter this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Mariners are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Mariners are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .039.
The Mariners are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .121.
The Mariners are just 0-9 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Phillies are just 0-8 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
The Phillies are just 84-7 (.923) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Phillies are just 0-5 (.000) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
The Phillies are 2-10 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .121.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .330 (60 PA’s) against left-handed relievers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .331 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
27% of Phillies hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Phillies hitters are slugging .436 against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Phillies hitters are slugging .647 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Mariners pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 1,012 of 12,987 batters (8%) since the 2021 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 9 double plays in 161 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .267 against Phillies pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Phillies vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Nicholas Nelson (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
- Andrew Bellatti (Phillies): Tricep, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Elbow, D10
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hand, D10
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
Bet now on Mariners vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
