Mariners vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 24

Pittsburgh Pirates' Spencer Horwitz rounds the bases after hitting a solo home run in the seventh inning of a baseball game against the Atlanta Braves, Friday, Sept. 26, 2025, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Colin Hubbard)
(AP Photo/Colin Hubbard)
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  • The Pirates are -118 favorites vs the Mariners
  • Mariners vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Mariners / Pirates TV Channel: MRTV | SNPT

The Seattle Mariners (-102) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-118) on June 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Mariners are 41-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 38-39 ATS.

Mariners vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 6-5, 3.95 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft 6-3, 3.16 ERA

Mariners vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners+1.5 -220O 7.5 -102-102
Pirates -1.5 +165U 7.5 -118-118

Mariners vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Colt Emerson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+15.90 Units / 199% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Victor Robles has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.20 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.85 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+13.40 Units / 134% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+7.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 25 away games (+4.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 away games (+3.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+1.35 Units / 11% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 31-49 against the Run Line (-9.1 Units / -10.85% ROI).

  • 41-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -9.37% ROI
  • 38-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -5.49% ROI
  • 39-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -2.9% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 38-39 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -1.09% ROI).

  • 39-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -9.14% ROI
  • 44-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.85 Units / 10.15% ROI
  • 32-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.1 Units / -18.57% ROI

Pirates vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Cal Raleigh +340
Brandon Lowe +340
Julio Rodriguez +475
Luke Raley +525
Spencer Horwitz +550

Pirates vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Spencer Horwitz 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Josh Naylor 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Nick Gonzales 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Pirates vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Dominic Canzone 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jared Triolo 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Mariners are 17-8 (.680) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Pirates (fifth in runs scored).

The Mariners are just 1-30 (.032) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Mariners are 27-12 (.692) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Pirates (22nd runs allowed).

The Mariners are 26-15 (.634) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Pirates are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Pirates are 23-16 (.590) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .490.

The Pirates are just 4-9 (.308) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Mariners (fifth in runs allowed).

The Pirates are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are batting just .208 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .617 (878 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .326 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 160 total hits (just 26%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 27% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .353 (1,557 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .357 (360 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .334 (3,096 PA’s) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .282 against Pirates pitchers with runners on base this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Pirates have allowed 1.73 runs per game (137/79) in late innings this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed 77 home runs this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.