Mariners vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 12

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 12, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Mariners (61-52) are -155 favorites vs the Rangers (49-62)
  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (3-3), 3.40 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Joshua Sborz (0-0), 5.87 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The Seattle Mariners (-155) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+125) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Mariners vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mariners are 61-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 63-48 ATS.

Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +105O 8 -105-155
Rangers +1.5 -130U 8 -115+125

Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 40 away games (+22.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 40 away games (+11.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.00 Units / 60% ROI)

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.50 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 72 games (+14.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 50 games at home (+13.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 54 games (+12.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 29 games at home (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)

Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Bubba Thompson 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Corey Seager 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jonah Heim 0.5 +340 0.5 -650

Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Bubba Thompson 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Corey Seager 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Jonah Heim 0.5 -150 0.5 +105

Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Bubba Thompson 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Corey Seager 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Jonah Heim 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Kirby 5.5 +115 5.5 -165
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+19.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+11.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 away games (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 100 games (+18.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+11.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 39 of their last 72 games (+10.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 14 games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 57-56 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -4.97% ROI).

  • 61-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.75 Units / 7.22% ROI
  • 53-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -5.41% ROI
  • 55-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -2.51% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 63-48 against the Run Line (+10.1 Units / 6.97% ROI).

  • 49-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -8.97% ROI
  • 54-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 1.55% ROI
  • 48-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -8.92% ROI

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .362 (38 GB hits out of 105 GBs) against George Kirby this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 0 Percentile.

George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .585 (62 Total Bases / 106 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .369 — first Percentile.

George Kirby has not allowed a home run in any of the last 26.2 innings he’s appeared — David Phelps has the longest active streak at 56.0.

Opponents are hitting .330 (35-for-106) against George Kirby’s curve and slider this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .224 — first Percentile.

Joshua Sborz: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .327 (18-for-55) against Josh Sborz’s elevated fastball since the start of last season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .201 — fourth Percentile.

70% of Josh Sborz’s fastball strikeouts are located away since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.

Josh Sborz has a strike rate of just 59% (237/398) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 12th lowest among among 143 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.

47% of Josh Sborz’s fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since the start of last season — tied for 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 91st Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mariners are 45-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Mariners are 12-1 (.923) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Mariners are 7-47 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Mariners are 30-26 (.536) on the road this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Rangers are just 37-8 (.822) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Rangers are just 14-50 (.219) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Rangers are just 23-31 (.426) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Rangers are just 46-56 (.451) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .219 at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .167 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,737 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (3,052 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (10,106 PA’s) since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Rangers have a winning percentage of just 44% at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.3 MPH since the start of last season (6,980 balls in play) — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Rangers pitchers have walked 16 of 115 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 94 of 990 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 388 of 4,220 batters (9%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kole Calhoun (Rangers): Heel, D10
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Dennis Santana (Rangers): Ankle, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
  • Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
  • Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Wrist, D10
  • Matthew Boyd (Mariners): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.