- The Mariners (62-52) are -105 favorites vs the Rangers (49-63)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (7-11), 3.98 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning (2-6), 4.03 ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The Seattle Mariners (-105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-115) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Arlington.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Mariners vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 62-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 63-49 ATS.
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -110 | -105 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -110 | -115 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 41 away games (+23.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 away games (+12.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 41 away games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+12.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 14 away games (+12.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 54 of his last 73 games (+15.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 30 games at home (+13.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 51 games at home (+12.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Charlie Culberson | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Charlie Culberson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Corey Seager | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Charlie Culberson | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Dunning | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Marco Gonzales | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 46 games (+20.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 27 away games (+12.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games (+12.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 away games (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 101 games (+16.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 39 of their last 73 games (+9.65 Units / 12% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 58-56 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -4.18% ROI).
- 62-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.75 Units / 7.88% ROI
- 53-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -5.36% ROI
- 55-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -2.49% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 63-49 against the Run Line (+8.75 Units / 5.98% ROI).
- 49-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.35 Units / -9.69% ROI
- 54-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 1.54% ROI
- 48-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -8.84% ROI
Marco Gonzales: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 29% (72 SO in 245 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (178/979) against Marco Gonzales this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 20% (32 SO in 159 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — fifth Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 13% (72 SO in 537 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Dane Dunning: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (25/156) against Dane Dunning this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 55% (292/533) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Dane Dunning has thrown low pitches 58% of the time (288/492) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% (182/338) against Dane Dunning this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 46-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Mariners are 46-1 (.979) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Mariners are 31-26 (.544) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Mariners are 27-6 (.818) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .667.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 37-8 (.822) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Rangers are just 35-7 (.833) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Rangers are just 14-51 (.215) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Rangers are 28-6 (.824) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .219 at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Mariners hitters have drawn 128 walks in 1,181 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (7,090 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (3,059 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Opponents have used a defensive shift against the Rangers on 66% of their plate appearances this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.. *
Rangers hitters have missed on 29% of swings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Mariners have won 39% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mariners pitchers have won 32% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 95 of 999 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 16 of 115 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kole Calhoun (Rangers): Heel, D10
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Dennis Santana (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Wrist, D10
- Matthew Boyd (Mariners): Elbow, D60
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