- The Mariners (62-53) are -120 favorites vs the Rangers (50-63)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert (10-5), 3.46 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (9-3), 2.84 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+100) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Mariners vs Rangers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 62-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 64-49 ATS.
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -110 | -120 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -165 | U 7.5 -110 | +100 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s matchup with 67.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 42 away games (+24.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 42 away games (+13.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 55 of his last 74 games (+16.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 28 of his last 52 games at home (+14.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 56 games (+12.50 Units / 22% ROI)
Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Corey Seager | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Martin Perez | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 47 games (+19.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 28 away games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 away games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.23 Units / 27% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 102 games (+18.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 74 games (+10.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+0.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 16 games (+0.62 Units / 3% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 58-57 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -5.42% ROI).
- 62-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.75 Units / 7.1% ROI
- 54-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -4.52% ROI
- 55-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -3.37% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 64-49 against the Run Line (+10.45 Units / 7.1% ROI).
- 50-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -8.82% ROI
- 55-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 2.33% ROI
- 48-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.05 Units / -9.68% ROI
Logan Gilbert: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .444 (24-for-54) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 26% (267/1,042) against Logan Gilbert this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — third Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 138 of Logan Gilbert’s 557 off-speed pitches out of the zone (25%) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — third Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (27 Total Bases / 27 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .407 — first Percentile.
Martín Pérez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .155 (16-for-103) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 98th Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .194 (20 Total Bases / 103 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .419 — 100th Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of just 23% (29 SO in 128 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (206/397) against Martin Perez this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 92nd Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 46-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Mariners are 27-7 (.794) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .667.
The Mariners are 10-9 (.526) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 6-43 (.122) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 38-8 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Rangers are just 14-51 (.215) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Rangers are just 24-32 (.429) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Rangers are just 36-7 (.837) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .219 at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (7,107 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .688 (3,075 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .305 (1,245 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,760 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Mariners have won 39% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 96 of 1,008 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 15 of 116 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kole Calhoun (Rangers): Heel, D10
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Dennis Santana (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Wrist, D10
- Matthew Boyd (Mariners): Elbow, D60
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