- The Mariners (48-42) are -165 favorites vs the Rangers (41-46)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Robert Ray (7-6), 3.50 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Matthew Bush (2-1), 3.64 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Seattle Mariners (-165) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+140) on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Mariners vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 48-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 51-36 ATS.
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +100 | O 8 -115 | -165 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -120 | U 8 -105 | +140 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s matchup with 59.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Mariners and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Robbie Ray has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+4.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Robbie Ray has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 51% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mitch Garver has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Willie Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Sam Huff has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+6.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- Glenn Otto has hit the Strikeouts Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willie Calhoun has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+5.35 Units / 66% ROI)
Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Charlie Culberson | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Hernandez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Charlie Culberson | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Hernandez | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Charlie Culberson | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Hernandez | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 22 games (+16.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 16 away games (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+8.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+7.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.75 Units / 27% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 76 games (+19.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+14.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 33 games at home (+4.38 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+3.85 Units / 5% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 47-43 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -1.44% ROI).
- 48-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 5.76% ROI
- 43-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -6.09% ROI
- 45-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -2.55% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 51-36 against the Run Line (+12 Units / 10.6% ROI).
- 41-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -3.97% ROI
- 40-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -2.71% ROI
- 39-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -5.01% ROI
Robert Ray: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (448/999) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (253/504) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (770/1,537) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has had third base stolen on him 10 times since the start of last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Bush: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 49% (22/45) against Matt Bush on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.
Matt Bush has a strikeout rate of 43% (20 SO in 47 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Matt Bush has a strike rate of 69% (310/452) this season — tied for 15th highest among among 223 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 93rd Percentile.
Matt Bush has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 9.2 innings pitched — Triston McKenzie has the longest active streak at 21.1.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 6-38 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Mariners are 35-1 (.972) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Mariners are 34-6 (.850) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Mariners are 35-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 31-7 (.816) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Rangers are 6-34 (.150) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Rangers are just 12-36 (.250) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Rangers are 4-34 (.105) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .161 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have drawn 104 walks in 907 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mariners are batting just .306 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Mariners hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (9,200 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .676 (6,380 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .303 (4,528 PA’s) at home since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Opponents have used a defensive shift against the Rangers on 67% of their plate appearances this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.. *
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 3 of 110 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 70 of 779 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Dane Dunning (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- John Crawford (Mariners): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Mariners and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.