Mariners vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 17, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Mariners (50-42) are -135 favorites vs the Rangers (41-48)
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen (6-8), 3.84 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (4-5), 5.49 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The Seattle Mariners (-135) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+110) on Sunday, July 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Mariners vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mariners are 50-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 52-37 ATS.

Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +120O 9 -115-135
Rangers +1.5 -145U 9 -105+110

Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s matchup with 63.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 32 away games (+18.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 48 of his last 84 games (+12.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+10.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 45 away games (+10.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Marco Gonzales has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 41% ROI)

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 42 games at home (+17.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.70 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 45 games at home (+13.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 33 games (+12.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 41 games at home (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)

Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Corey Seager 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Josh H. Smith 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Kole Calhoun 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Leody Taveras 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Corey Seager 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Josh H. Smith 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Kole Calhoun 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Leody Taveras 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Corey Seager 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
Josh H. Smith 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Kole Calhoun 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Leody Taveras 0.5 +195 0.5 -300

Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Glenn Otto 4.5 +120 4.5 -165
Chris Flexen 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 24 games (+18.35 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 18 away games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 away games (+8.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+8.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 78 games (+19.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+13.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 35 games at home (+2.23 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 69 games (+1.85 Units / 2% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 48-44 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -1.34% ROI).

  • 50-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 7.42% ROI
  • 44-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.05 Units / -6.01% ROI
  • 46-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -2.64% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 52-37 against the Run Line (+11.7 Units / 10.11% ROI).

  • 41-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -5.86% ROI
  • 41-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -2.7% ROI
  • 40-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -5.05% ROI

Chris Flexen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 55% (150/275) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 60% (507/839) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (106/311) against Chris Flexen this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 10th Percentile.

Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 36% (67 SO in 188 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 11th Percentile.

Glenn Otto: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Glenn Otto has walked 33 of 246 batters (13%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Glenn Otto has a strike rate of just 59% (297/507) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.

Glenn Otto has walked 1 of 63 batters (2%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Glenn Otto has a strike rate of just 60% (593/990) this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mariners are 22-5 (.815) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .661.

The Mariners are 26-22 (.542) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Mariners are 37-1 (.974) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .884.

The Mariners are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Rangers are just 31-7 (.816) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Rangers are just 12-38 (.240) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

The Rangers are just 21-25 (.457) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Rangers are 22-5 (.815) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .161 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mariners hitters have drawn 106 walks in 938 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Mariners are batting just .306 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (2,846 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .692 (2,846 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Rangers hitters have pulled 52% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (6,423 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 4 of 129 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 3 of 111 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Rangers pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 229 times this season — tied for 5th most in MLB.

Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Dane Dunning (Rangers): Ankle, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
  • Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • John Crawford (Mariners): Finger, Day-to-Day
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.