- The Mariners are -140 favorites vs the Rangers
- Mariners vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | FS1 | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+100) on Saturday, June 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Mariners are 42-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 41-40 ATS.
Mariners vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 7-4, 3.12 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Kumar Rocker 3-4, 6.62 ERA
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | O 7.5 +100 | -120 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -175 | U 7.5 -120 | +100 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Bryan Woo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+7.20 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 68% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+9.50 Units / 190% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 45% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 69 games (+12.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+8.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 38 away games (+6.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 38 away games (+5.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.00 Units / 26% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 54 of their last 82 games (+21.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 82 games (+21.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+14.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 36 games at home (+5.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 35-45 against the Run Line (-12.05 Units / -11.92% ROI).
- 42-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -6.21% ROI
- 44-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.75 Units / 8.74% ROI
- 33-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.62 Units / -17.43% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 41-40 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -4.14% ROI).
- 40-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -6.37% ROI
- 28-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.2 Units / -32.86% ROI
- 53-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.85 Units / 23.87% ROI
Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Luke Raley (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kumar Rocker (TEX) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -118 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has thrown 58% of his pitches in the strike zone (773/1,338) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed an OBP of just .148 (108 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .277 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .087 (9-for-104) against Bryan Woo’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has a first-pitch in-zone of 65% (246/376) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 56% — 98th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .324 (46-for-142) against Kumar Rocker this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Kumar Rocker has allowed a BABIP of .385 this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .287 — first Percentile.
Kumar Rocker has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 11.1 innings pitched — Brendon Little has the longest active streak at 19.2.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 40% (16/40) against Kumar Rocker with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 4-33 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Mariners are 30-2 (.938) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .808.
The Mariners are 12-1 (.923) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .806.
The Mariners were 10-56 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 15-23 (.395) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rangers are just 21-32 (.396) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rangers are 56-12 (.824) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .216 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of .345 (1,728 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Mariners hitters are slugging .723 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .153 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .619 (764 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .612 (900 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Rangers have scored 0.96 runs per game (79/82) in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.45.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .269 (2,173 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Mariners pitchers had an ERA of 2.83 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rangers have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rangers have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
More MLB Reading:
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