- The Mariners are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
- Mariners vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+100) on Sunday, June 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX, TX.
This season, the Mariners are 42-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 42-40 ATS.
Mariners vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-0, 7.05 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 4-5, 4.57 ERA
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 -118 | -120 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -170 | U 8.5 -102 | +100 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Mariners vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+11.90 Units / 132% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+7.85 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 39% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 70 games (+11.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 76 games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 39 away games (+4.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 away games (+4.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 83 games (+22.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 83 games (+22.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+13.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 37 games at home (+6.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+4.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 35-46 against the Run Line (-13.05 Units / -12.78% ROI).
- 42-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -7.31% ROI
- 44-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.75 Units / 7.53% ROI
- 34-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.62 Units / -16.1% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 42-40 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -3.16% ROI).
- 41-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -5.32% ROI
- 28-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.2 Units / -33.61% ROI
- 54-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.85 Units / 24.64% ROI
Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -285 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Sam Haggerty (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Leiter (TEX) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
| Luis Castillo (SEA) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has walked 4% of right-handed batters this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 90th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 67% of the time (1,010/1,515) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (530/771) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 97th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has not walked any of the 57 right-handed batters that he has faced this month (5 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Leiter has walked 15% of opponent 7-8-9 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
53% of Jack Leiter’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (12/95) against Jack Leiter’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (16/121) against Jack Leiter’s breaking pitches since last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 4-33 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Mariners are 88-12 (.880) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Mariners are 12-1 (.923) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .807.
The Mariners are 30-2 (.938) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .808.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 2-22 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Rangers are just 3-10 (.231) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 13-58 (.183) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The Rangers are 56-12 (.824) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .217 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Mariners are batting just .216 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .225 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .154 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .608 (911 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .334 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .638 (1,458 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rangers have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .208 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 2.69 (375.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Mariners vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
