- The Rangers (25-27) are -130 favorites vs the Mariners (23-30)
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (1-1), 3.46 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (4-2), 1.42 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Seattle Mariners (+110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-130) on Sunday, June 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Mariners vs Rangers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 23-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 32-20 ATS.
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 +100 | +110 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -120 | -130 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 67.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+16.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+13.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 away games (+12.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+11.20 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 78% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1H Total Over in 25 of their last 44 games (+6.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Run Line in 29 of their last 41 games (+18.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+9.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 39 games (+7.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1H Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.28 Units / 18% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 26-27 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -10.55% ROI).
- 23-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -10.8% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.09% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -7.89% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 32-20 against the Run Line (+10.05 Units / 14.93% ROI).
- 25-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 2.3% ROI
- 21-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -11.08% ROI
- 25-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 3.5% ROI
George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.2 MPH (75 batted balls) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 88.7 — third Percentile.
George Kirby has not allowed a walk in his last 58 PAs against a LHH dating back to May 8th — Tarik Skubal has the longest active streak at 75.
George Kirby has walked 3 of 108 batters (3%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (12/18) against George Kirby on low breaking pitches this season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 95th Percentile.
Martín Pérez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has induced opposing hitters to ground into 9 double plays in 33 opportunities (27%) this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .253 (57 Total Bases / 225 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — 100th Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed an OPS of just .466 (194 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .669 — 97th Percentile.
Martin Perez has not allowed a home run in any of the last 70.1 innings he’s appeared — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
No Matchup notes for this Game
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .156 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Mariners are batting just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Mariners are batting just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (952 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (2,557 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .282 (5,004 PA’s) on the road since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .670 (2,557 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 48 of 463 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Dennis Santana (Rangers): Left Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D10
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Finger, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Sports Hernia, D60
- Erik Swanson (Mariners): Right Shouler, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D10
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