- The Mariners are -102 favorites vs the Rays
- Mariners vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Rays TV Channel: MRTV | RATV
The Seattle Mariners (-102) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-118) on July 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Mariners are 47-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 53-37 ATS.
Mariners vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 3-7, 4.81 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 7-2, 2.62 ERA
Mariners vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +165 | O 8 +100 | -102 |
| Rays | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -120 | -118 |
Mariners vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Castillo has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+5.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+3.30 Units / 61% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+1.60 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Hunter Feduccia has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Nick Martinez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nick Martinez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Rays Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 38-55 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -7.8% ROI).
- 47-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.6 Units / -9.91% ROI
- 44-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -6.24% ROI
- 46-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -2.1% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 53-37 against the Run Line (+23.4 Units / 21.43% ROI).
- 54-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.6 Units / 11.28% ROI
- 39-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -12.64% ROI
- 47-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 3.87% ROI
Rays vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Junior Caminero | +260 |
| Cal Raleigh | +270 |
| Luke Raley | +350 |
| Dominic Canzone | +360 |
| Jonathan Aranda | +390 |
Rays vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chandler Simpson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Junior Caminero | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dominic Canzone | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Rays vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colt Emerson | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jonathan Aranda | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Dominic Canzone | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Mariners are just 7-17 (.292) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Rays (ninth in runs allowed).
The Mariners are just 1-41 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Mariners are just 1-37 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Mariners are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rays are 33-14 (.702) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Rays are 28-9 (.757) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Mariners (27th in runs scored).
The Rays are 12-1 (.923) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Rays are 42-3 (.933) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .864.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .208 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .621 (976 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .328 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .657 (1,103 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 229 extra-base hits out of 781 total hits (just 29%) this season — lowest in MLB.
Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 70% at home this season — best in MLB.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 64% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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