- The – are favorites vs the –
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller
- Rays starting pitcher: Zachary Eflin
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Seattle Mariners () visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays () on Sunday, September 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Mariners vs Rays Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 0-0 ATS.
Mariners vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | O | ||
| Rays | U |
Mariners vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 63.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mariners vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+14.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 42 games (+12.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+11.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+11.40 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 35 games (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 games (+10.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 5 games at home (+9.15 Units / 183% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Zach Eflin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+7.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Rays vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Rays vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
Rays vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -500 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
Rays vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Zach Eflin | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 61 games (+14.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 31 games (+14.28 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+14.19 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 65 games (+10.34 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 70 games at home (+14.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+12.49 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games at home (+11.62 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 73 games at home (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 73 games at home (+9.35 Units / 7% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (42/157) against Bryce Miller this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 67% of the time (1,187/1,773) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OPS of just .548 (238 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .733 — 99th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has an average spin rate of 2581.1 RPM on fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 2241.0 — 98th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 19% (41/217) against Zach Eflin this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 21 of 615 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed three-ball counts to 11% of batters they faced (69/615 PA’s) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 10 of 319 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 93rd Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Mariners are 16-25 (.390) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Mariners are 12-6 (.667) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Mariners are 131-6 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Mariners are 42-4 (.913) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rays are just 10-23 (.303) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Rays are 15-5 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 32-3 (.914) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Rays are 100-55 (.645) at home since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have 10 strikeouts in 24 PA’s (42%) against LHP over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of .775 (5,415 PA’s) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Rays hitters have 149 strikeouts in 436 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Rays are batting .264 on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Rays hitters are slugging .448 against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 359 of 5,257 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 3 of 113 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% against the Mariners pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 810 of 11,287 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 776 of 11,198 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 392 of 5,268 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have not picked-off any runners from first base this season — lowest in MLB.
Rays pitchers have walked 264 of 4,178 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jason Adam (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Forearm, D60
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Elbow, D10
- Isaac Paredes (Rays): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Emerson Hancock (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Thumb, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Jarred Kelenic (Mariners): Foot, D10
Bet now on Mariners vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
