Mariners vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 1

Boston Red Sox rookie Roman Anthony celebrates after his two RBI double, his first major league hit, during the first inning of a baseball game against the Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park, Tuesday, June 10, 2025, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Charles Krupa)
Sportsbook Promos
  • The Red Sox are -125 favorites vs the Mariners
  • Mariners vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Mariners / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | MRTV

The Seattle Mariners (+105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-125) on September 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Mariners are against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are ATS.

Mariners vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 9-9, 4.38 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Mariners vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners+1.5 -210O 7 +100+105
Red Sox -1.5 +170U 7 -120-125

Mariners vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+13.10 Units / 131% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Cole Young has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Mickey Gasper has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+34.50 Units / 345% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Roman Anthony has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Nick Sogard has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nick Sogard has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.95 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+11.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+16.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+15.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+13.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games (+9.40 Units / 16% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Cal Raleigh +375
Wilyer Abreu +425
Julio Rodriguez +500
Dominic Canzone +500
Randy Arozarena +500

Red Sox vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Roman Anthony 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Josh Naylor 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Red Sox vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dominic Canzone 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Taylor Ward 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Roman Anthony 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jarren Duran 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Mariners are just 2-63 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 19-23 (.452) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 22-34 (.393) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Red Sox (16th in runs scored).

The Mariners are just 2-66 (.029) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Red Sox are 44-30 (.595) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 55-5 (.917) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 11-51 (.177) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 63-2 (.969) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .227 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .214 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .301 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .147 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .282 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.

29% of Red Sox hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .765 (1,357 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .248 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a swing rate of 51% against the Mariners pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.55 (615.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (3,233 batted balls) this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.