- The Mariners are -120 favorites vs the Reds
- Mariners vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mariners / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+100) on Tuesday, April 15, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Mariners are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 0-0 ATS.
Mariners vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-0, 7.05 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 2-1, 0.97 ERA
Mariners vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 +100 | -120 |
| Reds | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -120 | +100 |
Mariners vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.05 Units / 65% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+7.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.65 Units / 65% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 away games (+2.30 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+20.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 away games (+8.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 53 away games (+6.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 147 games (+17.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 144 games (+11.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 77 of their last 146 games (+9.90 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+5.15 Units / 49% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Reds vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Reds vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Donovan Solano (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Reds vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Reds vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo (SEA) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 79% of the time (130/165) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .398 (160 Total Bases / 402 ABs) when ahead in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — fourth Percentile.
Luis Castillo has struck out 28% (118/414) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 87th Percentile.
Luis Castillo walked 11 of 270 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 89th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo has a strikeout rate of just 7% (2 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has a strikeout rate of just 11% (8 SO in 71 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has a strikeout rate of just 7% (2 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has located his pitches away 73% of the time (49/67) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Mariners are 1-6 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .028.
The Mariners were 58-5 (.921) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Mariners are 156-3 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners were just 66-16 (.805) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 14-27 (.341) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Reds are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Mariners are batting just .203 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mariners are batting just .210 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .112 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .163 (202 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Reds hitters are slugging just .146 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds are batting just .137 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 86 of 1,589 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers had an ERA of 2.83 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .241 (547 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
More MLB Reading:
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