- The Mariners are -150 favorites vs the Royals
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Seattle Mariners (-150) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+125) on Monday, August 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Mariners vs Royals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 63-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 51-68 ATS.
Mariners vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +110 | O 8 -110 | -150 |
| Royals | +1.5 -135 | U 8 -110 | +125 |
Mariners vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 65.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tom Murphy has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Tom Murphy has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tom Murphy has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Drew Waters has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+11.75 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+10.80 Units / 54% ROI)
Royals vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Cade Marlowe | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Royals vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Cade Marlowe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Royals vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cade Marlowe | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Royals vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
| Logan Gilbert | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+10.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+10.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.45 Units / 29% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+11.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+10.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+10.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.49 Units / 41% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 58-59 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -1.03% ROI).
- 63-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -3.65% ROI
- 56-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.95 Units / -6.12% ROI
- 58-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units / -2.42% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 51-68 against the Run Line (-27.55 Units / -19.13% ROI).
- 38-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.2 Units / -23.15% ROI
- 55-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.45 Units / -8.78% ROI
- 60-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.43% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .260 against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — third best among qualified SPs– 96th Percentile. Opponents batted .476 (39-for-82) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — worst among qualified SPs– second Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .184 (152 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has a strikeout rate of 55% (12 SO in 22 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — best in AL over the last week; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .260 (20-for-77) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .339 — 96th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 55% (74/134) against Brady Singer on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.
Brady Singer has located his fastball inside 44% of the time (473/1,066) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown inside pitches 40% of the time (840/2,113) this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 53% (106/200) against Brady Singer on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 37% — first Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Mariners are 71-10 (.877) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Mariners are 9-111 (.075) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mariners are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Mariners are 22-14 (.611) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Royals are just 11-24 (.314) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .615.
The Royals are just 26-26 (.500) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Royals are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 14-16 (.467) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .689.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .228 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Mariners are batting just .223 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Mariners hitters have 1,156 strikeouts in 4,425 PA’s (26%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mariners are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Royals have won just 44% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 69%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 32% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have won just 32% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 62%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 302 of 4,327 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% against the Mariners pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners pitchers have a strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Royals vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Donald Greinke (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Nicholas Pratto (Royals): Groin, D10
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Taylor Clarke (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- John Crawford (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Bryan Woo (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Jarred Kelenic (Mariners): Foot, D10
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