- The Mariners (70-58) are -175 favorites vs the Tigers (50-78)
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (5-3), 3.31 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning (1-1), 2.36 ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Seattle Mariners (-175) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+145) on Tuesday, August 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Mariners vs Tigers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 69-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 58-68 ATS.
Mariners vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +100 | O 7.5 -105 | -175 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -120 | U 7.5 -115 | +145 |
Mariners vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 48 away games (+21.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+13.70 Units / 64% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+11.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+11.65 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- Victor Reyes has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.45 Units / 81% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+7.20 Units / 90% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 69 games (+10.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 48 games (+8.40 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 74 games (+10.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+8.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.15 Units / 70% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 65-60 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -2.45% ROI).
- 69-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 6.71% ROI
- 58-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -5.17% ROI
- 60-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -2.45% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 58-68 against the Run Line (-19.7 Units / -12.4% ROI).
- 48-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -14 Units / -10.55% ROI
- 45-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.25 Units / -22.53% ROI
- 70-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.15 Units / 15.2% ROI
George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .394 (52 GB hits out of 132 GBs) against George Kirby this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: .234 — 0 Percentile.
George Kirby has not allowed a home run in any of the last 45.0 innings he’s appeared — Jason Foley has the longest active streak at 57.0.
George Kirby has not allowed a HR in any of his last eight starts dating back to July 2nd — tied with Collin McHugh and Daniel Norris for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents are hitting .325 (41-for-126) against George Kirby’s curve and slider this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: .223 — first Percentile.
Matthew Manning: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning has pitched 11.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Zac Gallen has the longest active streak at 27.1.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (12/42) against Matt Manning this month (5 games) — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Matt Manning has an ERA of 0.69 (13.0 IP) — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.04 — 97th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 77% of Matt Manning’s pitches (39/51) with two-strikes — tied for 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — 98th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mariners are 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Mariners are 52-1 (.981) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Mariners are 28-8 (.778) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Mariners are 30-8 (.789) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Tigers are 8-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Tigers are just 5-23 (.179) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Tigers are just 6-54 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Tigers are just 22-43 (.338) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .302 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have drawn 144 walks in 1,320 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (3,416 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .322 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .597 (3,416 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (7,647 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 21 of 399 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mariners have won 39% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 7 of 44 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 26 of 220 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (25 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Schoop (Tigers): Ankle, D10
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Ednel Báez (Tigers): Back, Day-to-Day
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- John Crawford (Mariners): Pec, Day-to-Day
- Matthew Boyd (Mariners): Elbow, D60
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