- The Mariners (71-58) are -160 favorites vs the Tigers (50-79)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (9-12), 3.96 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander (3-8), 4.83 ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Seattle Mariners (-160) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+135) on Wednesday, August 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Mariners vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 70-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 58-69 ATS.
Mariners vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +100 | O 8.5 -110 | -160 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -120 | U 8.5 -110 | +135 |
Mariners vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Tigers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Javier Baez | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
Tigers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Tigers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Alexander | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +110 |
| Marco Gonzales | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 66-60 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -1.84% ROI).
- 70-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.35 Units / 7.28% ROI
- 59-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -4.41% ROI
- 60-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -3.22% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 58-69 against the Run Line (-20.85 Units / -13.03% ROI).
- 48-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -11.22% ROI
- 46-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.25 Units / -21.64% ROI
- 70-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.05 Units / 14.3% ROI
Marco Gonzales: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 29% (79 SO in 274 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has struck out just 12% (59/481) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 13% (79 SO in 606 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (66/407) against Marco Gonzales this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Tyler Alexander: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .360 (41-for-114) against Tyler Alexander on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .257 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (182/1,003) against Tyler Alexander since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has struck out just 16% (87/544) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .325 against Tyler Alexander since the start of last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .260 — fifth Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mariners are 14-1 (.933) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Mariners are 30-8 (.789) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Mariners are 32-14 (.696) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 53-2 (.964) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Tigers are 8-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Tigers are just 5-24 (.172) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Tigers are just 22-43 (.338) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Tigers are just 6-37 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,452 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .596 (3,452 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .322 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (7,683 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 19 of 399 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 104 of 1,128 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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