Mariners vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 31

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 31, 2022, 11:28 AM
  • The Mariners (71-58) are -160 favorites vs the Tigers (50-79)
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (9-12), 3.96 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander (3-8), 4.83 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSDET

The Seattle Mariners (-160) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+135) on Wednesday, August 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Mariners vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mariners are 70-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 58-69 ATS.

Mariners vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +100O 8.5 -110-160
Tigers +1.5 -120U 8.5 -110+135

Mariners vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Tigers vs Mariners and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 49 away games (+22.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 22 away games (+12.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+12.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 away games (+12.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+8.65 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Tigers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Eric Haase 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
    Harold Castro 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
    Javier Baez 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
    Jeimer Candelario 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
    Riley Greene 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200

    Tigers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Eric Haase 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Harold Castro 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Javier Baez 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
    Jeimer Candelario 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
    Riley Greene 0.5 -275 0.5 +190

    Tigers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Eric Haase 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
    Harold Castro 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
    Javier Baez 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
    Jeimer Candelario 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
    Riley Greene 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

    Tigers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Tyler Alexander 2.5 -160 2.5 +110
    Marco Gonzales 3.5 -105 3.5 -135
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 70 games (+9.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 49 games (+9.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+11.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+7.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.15 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 66-60 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -1.84% ROI).

    • 70-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.35 Units / 7.28% ROI
    • 59-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -4.41% ROI
    • 60-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -3.22% ROI

    Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 58-69 against the Run Line (-20.85 Units / -13.03% ROI).

    • 48-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -11.22% ROI
    • 46-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.25 Units / -21.64% ROI
    • 70-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.05 Units / 14.3% ROI

    Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 29% (79 SO in 274 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

    Marco Gonzales has struck out just 12% (59/481) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.

    Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 13% (79 SO in 606 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

    Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (66/407) against Marco Gonzales this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

    Tyler Alexander: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents are hitting .360 (41-for-114) against Tyler Alexander on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .257 — first Percentile.

    Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (182/1,003) against Tyler Alexander since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

    Tyler Alexander has struck out just 16% (87/544) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.

    Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .325 against Tyler Alexander since the start of last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .260 — fifth Percentile.

    Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

    The Mariners are 14-1 (.933) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

    The Mariners are 30-8 (.789) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

    The Mariners are 32-14 (.696) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Mariners are 53-2 (.964) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

    Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

    The Tigers are 8-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

    The Tigers are just 5-24 (.172) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.

    The Tigers are just 22-43 (.338) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.

    The Tigers are just 6-37 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

    The Mariners are batting just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

    Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

    The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

    Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

    Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,452 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

    Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .596 (3,452 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

    Tigers hitters are slugging just .322 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

    Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (7,683 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Mariners pitchers have walked 19 of 399 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Tigers pitchers have walked 104 of 1,128 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

    Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

    Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

    Tigers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Schoop (Tigers): Ankle, D10
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Dylan Moore (Mariners): Oblique, D10
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • John Crawford (Mariners): Pec, Day-to-Day
  • Matthew Boyd (Mariners): Elbow, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.