- The Tigers are -235 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Mariners / Tigers TV Channel: ATV
The Seattle Mariners (+195) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-235) on Friday, July 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.
This season, the Mariners are 48-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 51-43 ATS.
Mariners vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-0, 7.05 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 10-2, 2.03 ERA
Mariners vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -118 | O 7 -102 | +195 |
| Tigers | -1.5 -102 | U 7 -118 | -235 |
Mariners vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 63.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+24.00 Units / 240% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+21.50 Units / 215% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.45 Units / 67% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+11.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 43 away games (+6.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+2.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.85 Units / 9% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 57 of their last 94 games (+19.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 91 games (+18.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 52 of their last 93 games (+15.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 56 of their last 94 games (+12.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+10.05 Units / 17% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 38-53 against the Run Line (-17.2 Units / -15.04% ROI).
- 48-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -6.26% ROI
- 50-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.15 Units / 7.01% ROI
- 39-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.17 Units / -15.73% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 51-43 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 4.33% ROI).
- 59-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.25 Units / 10.8% ROI
- 47-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 0.34% ROI
- 43-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.8 Units / -8.42% ROI
Tigers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Tigers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Zach McKinstry (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Tigers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 8.5 +110 | 8.5 -145 |
| Luis Castillo (SEA) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .080 (2-for-25) against Luis Castillo in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .242 — 98th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .080 (25 PA’s) against right-handed batters in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .290 — 98th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (1,634/2,393) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has thrown just 48% of his pitches in the strike zone (407/854) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 52% — ninth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .222 (436 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .300 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 56% (75 SO in 135 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .193 (161 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 74% (23 SO in 31 PAs) with two-strikes in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mariners are just 95-21 (.819) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .862.
The Mariners are 4-37 (.098) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Mariners are 111-3 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mariners are 91-14 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Tigers are 59-35 (.628) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are 72-6 (.923) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Tigers are 23-11 (.676) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging .713 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .579.
The Mariners are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of .340 (1,934 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers hitters are slugging .443 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .384.
The Tigers are batting just .140 against LHP this month (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Tigers have a winning percentage of 63% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.03 (428.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.59 (243.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Tigers pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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