- The Mariners are -120 favorites vs the Tigers
- Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+100) on Friday, May 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Mariners vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 18-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 21-15 ATS.
Mariners vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 +100 | -120 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -120 | +100 |
Mariners vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 67.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+9.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
Tigers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
Tigers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Javier Baez | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Tigers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Tigers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Gonzales | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 32% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+6.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 18-19 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -1.74% ROI).
- 18-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -10.48% ROI
- 17-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -10.22% ROI
- 19-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 1.5% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 21-15 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 7.89% ROI).
- 17-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.85 Units / 21.75% ROI
- 18-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -1.63% ROI
- 17-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -6.37% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales has averaged 88.4 MPH on fastballs since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — second Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has allowed a slugging percentage of .778 (28 Total Bases / 36 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .388 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (103/622) against Marco Gonzales since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has thrown fastballs up 70% of the time (244/348) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 52% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has not walked any of the 45 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has walked 1 of 50 batters (2%) — tied for 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 17% (9/53) against Matthew Boyd’s fastball this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 40% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (9/37) against Matthew Boyd — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mariners are 8-80 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Mariners are 19-46 (.292) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Mariners are 2-14 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Mariners are just 0-6 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Tigers are 8-1 (.889) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .601.
The Tigers are just 21-42 (.333) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Tigers are just 11-80 (.121) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Tigers are just 3-103 (.028) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .206 (170 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have pulled 54% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .264 (330 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .614 (5,419 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .334 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .280 (5,419 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .223 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mariners pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 22 of 430 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 101 of 1,383 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
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