- The – are favorites vs the –
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert (10-5), 3.48 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez (3-3), 3.60 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Seattle Mariners () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Thursday, September 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Mariners vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 71-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 58-70 ATS.
Mariners vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | O | ||
| Tigers | U |
Mariners vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 49 away games (+22.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 22 away games (+12.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+12.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 away games (+12.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.05 Units / 52% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+8.65 Units / 96% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Tigers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Tigers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +195 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
Tigers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
| Logan Gilbert | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 40 of their last 71 games (+10.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.55 Units / 18% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 76 games (+10.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+8.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.15 Units / 42% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 67-60 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -1.24% ROI).
- 71-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.35 Units / 7.84% ROI
- 59-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -5.2% ROI
- 61-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -2.49% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 58-70 against the Run Line (-22.05 Units / -13.67% ROI).
- 48-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -16 Units / -11.88% ROI
- 46-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.4 Units / -22.28% ROI
- 71-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.05 Units / 14.9% ROI
Logan Gilbert: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (134/447) against Logan Gilbert this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 29% (78/264) against Logan Gilbert this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (118/383) against Logan Gilbert on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (161/447) against Logan Gilbert this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — ninth Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 378.2 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of 2020 is 378.2 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 399.9
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .365 (19 GB hits out of 52 GBs) against Eduardo Rodriguez with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: .231 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (43/129) against Eduardo Rodriguez on inside fastballs since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mariners are 37-30 (.552) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Mariners are 30-8 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Mariners are 14-1 (.933) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Mariners are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Tigers are just 6-56 (.097) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Tigers are just 42-5 (.894) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Tigers are just 5-25 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.
The Tigers are just 22-43 (.338) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .165 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .302 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Mariners are batting just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .321 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .596 (3,464 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .326 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,464 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 20 of 398 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 7 of 44 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Schoop (Tigers): Ankle, D10
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Oblique, D10
- Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
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