• The Mariners are -135 favorites vs the Twins
• Mariners vs Twins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Mariners / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | MRTV | KMSP

The Seattle Mariners (-135) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+110) on April 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Mariners are 14-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 15-14 ATS.

Mariners vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 1-3, 4.37 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 2-2, 3.90 ERA

Mariners vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mariners vs Twins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+12.80 Units / 183% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.75 Units / 30% ROI)
• Cole Young has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
• Cole Young has hit the Walks Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 47% ROI)
• Cole Young has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brooks Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
• Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 60% ROI)
• Brooks Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 31% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+5.85 Units / 30% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 away games (+12.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 37% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games at home (+6.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.40 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.75 Units / 37% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 10-20 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -25.82% ROI).

• 14-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -17.59% ROI
• 14-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -10.61% ROI
• 16-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 2.12% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 15-14 against the Run Line (-3.9 Units / -9.31% ROI).

• 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -5.2% ROI
• 16-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 8.5% ROI
• 12-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -18.25% ROI

Twins vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Mariners are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Mariners are 79-4 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Mariners are just 4-9 (.308) on the road this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Mariners are 22-13 (.629) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Twins are just 6-22 (.214) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 1-6 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Twins are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Twins are just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mariners are batting just .206 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .313 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging .678 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .288 (320 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .229 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .202 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have an OPS of just .455 (596 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 31 double plays in 212 opportunities (15%) this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 70% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Twins pitchers this month (25 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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