Mariners vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 29

Minnesota Twins' Byron Buxton celebrates towards the dugout after hitting a single that scores two runs against the Athletics during the sixth inning of a baseball game Tuesday, June 3, 2025, in West Sacramento, Calif.
(AP Photo/Scott Marshall)
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  • The Mariners are -130 favorites vs the Twins
  • Mariners vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
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The Seattle Mariners (-130) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+110) on April 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Mariners are 15-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 15-15 ATS.

Mariners vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 4-2, 2.98 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 3-1, 2.91 ERA

Mariners vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +135O 8 -115-130
Twins +1.5 -160U 8 -105+110

Mariners vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Cole Young has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.70 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+11.80 Units / 148% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Luke Raley has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Byron Buxton has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+13.00 Units / 186% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Luke Keaschall has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+10.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+8.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+7.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.30 Units / 9% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 11-20 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -20.97% ROI).

  • 15-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -14.79% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -7.32% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -1.03% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 15-15 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -12.54% ROI).

  • 13-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -8.19% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 11.25% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -20.85% ROI

Twins vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Cal Raleigh +310
Byron Buxton +360
Julio Rodriguez +450
Matt Wallner +500
Kody Clemens +550

Twins vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Josh Naylor 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Brooks Lee 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Josh Bell 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Twins vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Kody Clemens 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Dominic Canzone 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Mariners are 80-4 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .907.

The Mariners are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Mariners are just 15-28 (.349) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Twins (seventh in runs scored).

The Mariners are 10-69 (.127) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .093.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Twins are just 6-23 (.207) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.

The Twins are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Twins are just 23-89 (.205) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Mariners are batting just .204 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .624 (326 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Mariners hitters have an OBP of .364 (107 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .230 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 32% on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 70% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 31 double plays in 220 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 68% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Twins pitchers this month (26 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Twins pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.