- The – are favorites vs the –
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Seattle Mariners () visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins () on Wednesday, July 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Mariners vs Twins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 51-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 50-53 ATS.
Mariners vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | O | ||
| Twins | U |
Mariners vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 57.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Tom Murphy has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+8.95 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 22 games at home (+9.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Bailey Ober has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.90 Units / 88% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Twins vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Twins vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
Twins vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
Twins vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -105 |
| Bryce Miller | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+4.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.10 Units / 31% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games at home (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games at home (+2.55 Units / 3% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 47-54 against the Run Line (-10.4 Units / -7.93% ROI).
- 51-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.15 Units / -9.81% ROI
- 50-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -3.57% ROI
- 49-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -5.11% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 50-53 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -4.1% ROI).
- 54-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -5.79% ROI
- 48-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -7.32% ROI
- 51-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -1.11% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .221 (154 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .214 (41-for-192) against Bryce Miller on pitches in the strike zone this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .178 (26-for-146) against Bryce Miller this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 99th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OPS of just .536 (154 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .722 — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has allowed a .471 SLG vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– 14th Percentile and just .308 vs left-handed batters this season (third best among qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (44/156) against Joe Ryan this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 69% (1,303/1,874) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% (620/1,232) against Joe Ryan in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Mariners are 31-3 (.912) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Mariners are just 5-21 (.192) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Mariners are 109-5 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Mariners are 64-9 (.877) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Twins are just 9-23 (.281) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 10-31 (.244) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .147.
The Twins are just 5-9 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .218 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .292 (462 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Mariners are batting just .120 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .359 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .661 (942 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .738.
The Twins are batting just .219 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Twins hitters have 1,065 strikeouts in 3,904 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have 818 strikeouts in 2,962 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 267 of 3,749 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers have a strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 718 of 9,779 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins have won just 14% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Twins pitchers have walked 287 of 3,809 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Allen Pollock (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- John Crawford (Mariners): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Jarred Kelenic (Mariners): Foot, D10
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