- The Mariners are -190 favorites vs the White Sox
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dany Toussaint
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Seattle Mariners (-190) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+155) on Monday, August 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Mariners vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 69-55 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 62-62 ATS.
Mariners vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 -115 | O 8.5 -115 | -190 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -105 | +155 |
Mariners vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 78.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+14.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+11.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+11.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 38 games (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 away games (+9.90 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+12.95 Units / 81% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+11.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+10.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+9.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
White Sox vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Cade Marlowe | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
White Sox vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cade Marlowe | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
White Sox vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Cade Marlowe | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
White Sox vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Touki Toussaint | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Luis Castillo | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -120 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 44 games (+16.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 42 games (+13.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 away games (+9.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.79 Units / 13% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 86 games (+11.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games at home (+11.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.43 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.75 Units / 22% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 63-61 against the Run Line (+1.2 Units / 0.75% ROI).
- 69-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.17% ROI
- 62-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -2.18% ROI
- 59-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.6 Units / -6.35% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 62-62 against the Run Line (-13.7 Units / -8.22% ROI).
- 49-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.9 Units / -17.19% ROI
- 55-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -10.08% ROI
- 63-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 1.93% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Touki Toussaint has walked 37 of 221 batters (17%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Touki Toussaint’s pitches (364/923) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Touki Toussaint has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (94/180) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Touki Toussaint has a strike rate of just 58% (534/923) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
keys to the game – away
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The White Sox are just 40-7 (.851) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The White Sox are just 6-17 (.261) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The White Sox are just 35-12 (.745) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The White Sox are just 110-10 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .228 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Mariners hitters have 1,235 strikeouts in 4,732 PA’s (26%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.73 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .214 (2,413 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .456 (2,413 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The White Sox are just 40-7 (.851) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 766 of 10,622 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 315 of 4,592 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 498 of 4,806 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 14 of 98 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 62 of 442 batters (14%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Bernardo Zavala (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Emerson Hancock (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Bryan Woo (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Thumb, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Jose Caballero (Mariners): Shin/Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Jarred Kelenic (Mariners): Foot, D10
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