- The Mariners are -160 favorites vs the White Sox
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Seattle Mariners (-160) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+135) on Tuesday, August 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Mariners vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 70-55 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 62-63 ATS.
Mariners vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +105 | O 8.5 +100 | -160 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -125 | U 8.5 -120 | +135 |
Mariners vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 67.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+14.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+12.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+12.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+10.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+10.55 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+14.20 Units / 84% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+12.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+11.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 44% ROI)
White Sox vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Zach Remillard | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Cade Marlowe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
White Sox vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Zach Remillard | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Cade Marlowe | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
White Sox vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Zach Remillard | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -600 |
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Cade Marlowe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
White Sox vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Clevinger | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+14.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+7.79 Units / 15% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games at home (+11.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 87 games (+10.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.33 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+2.75 Units / 15% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 64-61 against the Run Line (+2.2 Units / 1.37% ROI).
- 70-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.4% ROI
- 63-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -1.44% ROI
- 59-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.8 Units / -7.17% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 62-63 against the Run Line (-14.7 Units / -8.76% ROI).
- 49-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.9 Units / -17.78% ROI
- 56-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -9.27% ROI
- 63-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 1.05% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 32% (36/113) against Bryan Woo on fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 75% of the time (678/899) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
77% of Bryan Woo’s strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 16% (9/55) against Bryan Woo on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (28/94) against Mike Clevinger in two-strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has averaged 79.8 MPH on sliders since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .146 (6-for-41) against Mike Clevinger over the last 14 days (2 games) — 3rd best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .248 — 95th Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 14.0 innings pitched — Justin Topa has the longest active streak at 20.1.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mariners are 122-5 (.961) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Mariners are 22-1 (.957) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Mariners are 77-10 (.885) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Mariners are 12-6 (.667) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .438.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The White Sox are just 40-7 (.851) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The White Sox are just 15-18 (.455) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .614.
The White Sox are just 38-8 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The White Sox are just 16-32 (.333) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .116 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Mariners are batting just .228 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Mariners hitters have 714 strikeouts in 2,929 PA’s (24%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .214 (2,435 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,584 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.73 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
White Sox has 1,894 quality ABs out of 4,657 total (41% QAB rate) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 316 of 4,629 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mariners pitchers have a strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 59 of 450 batters (13%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 503 of 4,855 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 14 of 98 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Bernardo Zavala (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Emerson Hancock (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Bryan Woo (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Thumb, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Jarred Kelenic (Mariners): Foot, D10
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