- The Mariners are -250 favorites vs the White Sox
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Seattle Mariners (-250) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+190) on Wednesday, August 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Mariners vs White Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 71-55 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 62-64 ATS.
Mariners vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Mariners | -2.5 +105 | O 9.5 -110 | -250 |
White Sox | +2.5 -125 | U 9.5 -110 | +190 |
Mariners vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 81.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+14.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 34 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 away games (+11.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+11.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+11.30 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+14.20 Units / 84% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+12.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 23% ROI)
White Sox vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Josh Rojas | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Oscar Colas | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
White Sox vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Teoscar Hernandez | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
Josh Rojas | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Oscar Colas | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
White Sox vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
Josh Rojas | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Oscar Colas | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
White Sox vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
George Kirby | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Michael Kopech | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
George Kirby | 6.5 +150 | 6.5 -200 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 46 games (+18.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+15.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 away games (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.79 Units / 16% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 53 games at home (+13.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 88 games (+9.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.49 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+1.45 Units / 7% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 65-61 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 2.04% ROI).
- 71-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 0.96% ROI
- 64-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -0.71% ROI
- 59-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.8 Units / -7.84% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 62-64 against the Run Line (-16 Units / -9.46% ROI).
- 49-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.9 Units / -18.36% ROI
- 57-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -8.47% ROI
- 63-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.32% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has a strike rate of 71% (1,576/2,225) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has a strike rate of 70% (781/1,113) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 5 of 306 right-handed batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 14 of 593 batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Kopech has a strike rate of just 56% (601/1,076) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Michael Kopech has walked 43 of 255 left-handed batters (17%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting just .114 (14-for-123) against Michael Kopech this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Kopech has walked 59 of 388 batters (15%) versus the top of the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mariners are 123-5 (.961) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Mariners are 49-31 (.612) after a road win since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Mariners are 77-10 (.885) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Mariners are 37-27 (.578) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .476.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The White Sox are just 40-7 (.851) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The White Sox are just 38-8 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The White Sox are just 16-32 (.333) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The White Sox are just 15-7 (.682) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .172 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .167 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Mariners hitters have 302 strikeouts in 1,148 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .214 (2,457 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.73 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,616 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .458 (2,457 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 318 of 4,668 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% against the Mariners pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (569.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 33 of 253 batters (13%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 9.53 (51.0 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.53.
White Sox pitchers have walked 59 of 448 batters (13%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Bernardo Zavala (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Emerson Hancock (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Thumb, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Jarred Kelenic (Mariners): Foot, D10
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