- The Yankees (69-34) are -190 favorites vs the Mariners (55-48)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (6-10), 3.66 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán (0-1), 8.21 ERA
- Watch the game on YES
The Seattle Mariners (+155) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on Monday, August 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Mariners vs Yankees Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 55-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 50-53 ATS.
Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -125 | O 9 -105 | +155 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +105 | U 9 -115 | -190 |
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s matchup with 55.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 37 away games (+19.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 49 games (+14.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+8.85 Units / 71% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+8.85 Units / 70% ROI)
- Joey Gallo has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Aaron Judge | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Domingo German | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -165 |
| Marco Gonzales | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 games (+18.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+13.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.35 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 93 games (+15.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 52-51 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -5.03% ROI).
- 55-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.85 Units / 6.4% ROI
- 48-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -8.35% ROI
- 53-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.09% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 50-53 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -4.4% ROI).
- 69-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.9 Units / 6.13% ROI
- 51-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -2.69% ROI
- 49-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -6.25% ROI
Marco Gonzales: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 27% (60 SO in 220 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 12% (60 SO in 483 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has struck out just 12% (46/388) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (157/881) against Marco Gonzales this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Domingo Germán: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Domingo German has allowed an OPS of 1.017 (20 PA’s) with two-strikes — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .514 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (7/26) against Domingo German — tied for 12th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 11th Percentile.
Domingo German has allowed an OBP of .350 (20 PA’s) with two-strikes — 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .232 — 10th Percentile.
Domingo German has allowed an OPS of 1.042 (39 PA’s) — 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .718 — fourth Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are 40-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Mariners are 41-1 (.976) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Mariners are 38-7 (.844) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Mariners are 6-38 (.136) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are 8-21 (.276) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Yankees are 40-13 (.755) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Yankees are 6-27 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Yankees are 41-9 (.820) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .161 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have drawn 111 walks in 1,023 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mariners are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.276 (737 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.063.
Yankees hitters have drawn 732 walks in 7,027 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .766 (3,104 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 57% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.6 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6
Yankees pitchers have walked 56 of 919 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Yankees vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Back, D10
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Tomaso Milone (Mariners): Neck, D15
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Castillo (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler France (Mariners): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
- Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Wrist, D10
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