• The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Mariners
• Mariners vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Mariners / Yankees TV Channel: MRTV | YES | TBS

The Seattle Mariners (+110) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-135) on August 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Mariners are 56-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 55-62 ATS.

Mariners vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 8-8, 4.33 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 5-7, 3.80 ERA

Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.90 Units / 41% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 42% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+11.50 Units / 144% ROI)
• Dominic Canzone has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• George Lombard Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.00 Units / 260% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 30% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 39% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 60% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.70 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+9.35 Units / 28% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.20 Units / 32% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+12.05 Units / 51% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 games (+3.75 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 25% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 44-74 against the Run Line (-22.35 Units / -17.17% ROI).

• 56-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.7 Units / -14.71% ROI
• 58-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -0.95% ROI
• 54-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.5 Units / -7.27% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 55-62 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -2.21% ROI).

• 66-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -4.43% ROI
• 50-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.85 Units / -16% ROI
• 64-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.15 Units / 7.07% ROI

Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Mariners were 12-55 (.179) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Mariners were just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners were 33-7 (.825) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

The Mariners were 5-59 (.078) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .043.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Yankees were just 4-55 (.068) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Yankees were 94-68 (.580) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees were 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

Mariners hitters are slugging just .478 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .301 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have 173 extra-base hits out of 581 total hits (just 30%) in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .216 with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

The Yankees are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 227 extra-base hits out of 573 total hits (40%) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .227 (2,424 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging just .184 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Mariners pitchers this season traveled 424.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (554.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.30 (1054.2 IP) this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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