• The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Mariners
• Mariners vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Mariners / Yankees TV Channel: MRTV | YES

The Seattle Mariners (+118) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on August 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Mariners are 56-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 57-62 ATS.

Mariners vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 8-7, 3.43 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 4-3, 2.93 ERA

Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+21.40 Units / 214% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.90 Units / 40% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 41% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• Cole Young has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.10 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.85 Units / 52% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 54% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.40 Units / 38% ROI)
• George Lombard Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+11.00 Units / 157% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 35% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.40 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+10.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.60 Units / 9% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 35 games at home (+17.60 Units / 41% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.70 Units / 44% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games (+3.75 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+3.45 Units / 27% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 44-76 against the Run Line (-26.05 Units / -19.45% ROI).

• 56-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.7 Units / -15.76% ROI
• 59-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -1.01% ROI
• 55-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.6 Units / -7.23% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 57-62 against the Run Line (+0.25 Units / 0.18% ROI).

• 68-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -3.23% ROI
• 51-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.95 Units / -15.81% ROI
• 65-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.05 Units / 6.87% ROI

Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Mariners are just 1-6 (.143) this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 1-5 (.167) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 1-6 (.143) since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 1-5 (.167) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Yankees were 81-21 (.794) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Yankees were 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Yankees were 94-68 (.580) in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

Mariners hitters are slugging just .475 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .216 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .299 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .222 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have 219 extra-base hits out of 498 total hits (44%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .227 (2,464 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .772 (1,440 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .150 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Mariners pitchers this season traveled 424.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (554.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.41 runs per game (215/63) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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