- The Yankees (70-34) are -165 favorites vs the Mariners (55-49)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert (10-4), 2.78 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (10-2), 3.71 ERA
- Watch the game on YES
The Seattle Mariners (+140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Mariners vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 55-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 51-53 ATS.
Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -110 | +140 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -110 | -165 |
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 66.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 38 away games (+20.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+15.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 49 games (+10.25 Units / 21% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+10.20 Units / 75% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+10.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+8.90 Units / 101% ROI)
Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
| Aaron Judge | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Yankees vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
| Logan Gilbert | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+17.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 60 games (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 48 games at home (+17.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 31% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 52-52 against the Run Line (-8.2 Units / -5.88% ROI).
- 55-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 5.54% ROI
- 48-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -8.27% ROI
- 53-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.09% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 51-53 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -3.51% ROI).
- 70-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.9 Units / 6.58% ROI
- 51-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -2.66% ROI
- 49-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -6.19% ROI
Logan Gilbert: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .356 (284 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .475 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (101/351) against Logan Gilbert this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .429 (21-for-49) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .335 — 11th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of just .207 (17 Total Bases / 82 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — 92nd Percentile.
Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 6 of 259 right-handed batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 17 of 451 batters (4%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 4 of 20 left-handed batters (20%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
The average home run distance against Jameson Taillon against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 381.4 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are 40-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Mariners are 8-5 (.615) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 38-7 (.844) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Mariners are 24-5 (.828) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .663.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are 8-21 (.276) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Yankees are 41-13 (.759) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Yankees are 55-17 (.764) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Yankees are 6-27 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .160 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .306 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .782 (1,257 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .681.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .766 (3,125 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.270 (745 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.060.
The Yankees have scored 1.77 runs per game (184/104) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.27.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners pitchers have won 36% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 53% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.8 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Back, D10
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Tomaso Milone (Mariners): Neck, D15
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Castillo (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler France (Mariners): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Samuel Haggerty (Mariners): Head, Day-to-Day
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
- Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Wrist, D10
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