Mariners vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 02, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Yankees (70-34) are -165 favorites vs the Mariners (55-49)
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert (10-4), 2.78 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (10-2), 3.71 ERA
  • Watch the game on YES

The Seattle Mariners (+140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Mariners vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mariners are 55-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 51-53 ATS.

Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners+1.5 -145O 8.5 -110+140
Yankees -1.5 +120U 8.5 -110-165

Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 66.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 38 away games (+20.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+15.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 49 games (+10.25 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+10.20 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+10.20 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+8.90 Units / 101% ROI)

Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Aaron Judge 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 -125 0.5 -115
Aaron Judge 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Yankees vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Aaron Judge 0.5 -115 0.5 -120
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 +195 0.5 -300

Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jameson Taillon 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
Logan Gilbert 4.5 -145 4.5 +100
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+17.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 60 games (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 48 games at home (+17.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 31% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 52-52 against the Run Line (-8.2 Units / -5.88% ROI).

  • 55-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 5.54% ROI
  • 48-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -8.27% ROI
  • 53-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.09% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 51-53 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -3.51% ROI).

  • 70-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.9 Units / 6.58% ROI
  • 51-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -2.66% ROI
  • 49-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -6.19% ROI

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .356 (284 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .475 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (101/351) against Logan Gilbert this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .429 (21-for-49) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .335 — 11th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of just .207 (17 Total Bases / 82 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — 92nd Percentile.

Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jameson Taillon has walked 6 of 259 right-handed batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 17 of 451 batters (4%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 4 of 20 left-handed batters (20%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

The average home run distance against Jameson Taillon against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 381.4 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 399.3

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Mariners are 40-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Mariners are 8-5 (.615) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are 38-7 (.844) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Mariners are 24-5 (.828) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .663.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Yankees are 8-21 (.276) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Yankees are 41-13 (.759) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Yankees are 55-17 (.764) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Yankees are 6-27 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .160 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mariners hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .306 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .782 (1,257 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .681.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .766 (3,125 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.270 (745 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.060.

The Yankees have scored 1.77 runs per game (184/104) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.27.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners pitchers have won 36% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees pitchers have won 53% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.8 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Yankees vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
  • Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
  • Dylan Moore (Mariners): Back, D10
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Tomaso Milone (Mariners): Neck, D15
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
  • Diego Castillo (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
  • Tyler France (Mariners): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Samuel Haggerty (Mariners): Head, Day-to-Day
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
  • Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Wrist, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.