- The – (70-33) are favorites vs the – (70-33)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo (4-4), 2.85 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole (9-3), 3.30 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Seattle Mariners () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Mariners vs Yankees Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 56-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 51-54 ATS.
Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 64.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 39 away games (+21.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 51 games (+13.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 50 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 41 of his last 56 games at home (+17.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+11.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+11.20 Units / 76% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+11.20 Units / 75% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+10.85 Units / 111% ROI)
Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Josh Donaldson | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Josh Donaldson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Kyle Higashioka | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
Yankees vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Josh Donaldson | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 -105 |
| Gerrit Cole | 7.5 -155 | 7.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games (+18.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+11.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 away games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.60 Units / 28% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 49 games at home (+15.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+12.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 53-52 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -5.11% ROI).
- 56-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.35 Units / 6.7% ROI
- 49-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -7.32% ROI
- 53-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -0.86% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 51-54 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -4.29% ROI).
- 70-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.25 Units / 5.69% ROI
- 52-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -1.77% ROI
- 49-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -7.08% ROI
Luis Castillo: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 50% (35 SO in 70 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last seven games — Gerrit Cole has the longest active streak at 9.
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .318 (100 Total Bases / 314 ABs) this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .396 — 94th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (231/392) against Luis Castillo since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (57/149) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (230/594) against Gerrit Cole in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 39% (80/205) against Gerrit Cole when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
53% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are 41-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Mariners are 25-5 (.833) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Mariners are 6-39 (.133) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Mariners are 29-5 (.853) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are 8-21 (.276) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Yankees are 41-14 (.745) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Yankees are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are 12-8 (.600) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .160 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have drawn 111 walks in 1,036 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mariners are batting just .128 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
The Mariners are batting just .221 at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging 1.054 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .557.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Yankees have scored 1.89 runs per game (198/105) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.39.
The Yankees have scored 184 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed 134 home runs this season — 3rd most in MLB.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 275 of 3,853 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees have won 58% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Back, D10
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Tomaso Milone (Mariners): Neck, D15
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Castillo (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler France (Mariners): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
- Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Wrist, D10
- Matthew Boyd (Mariners): Elbow, D60
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